Golden Globes: Movie nominations and predictions

The Master is a portrait of drifters and

The Master is a portrait of drifters and seekers in post World War II America, directed by Paul Thomas Anderson and released by The Weinstein Company September 1, 2012, following the journey of a Naval veteran (Joaquin Phoenix, pictured) who arrives home from war unsettled and uncertain of his future until he is tantalized by The Cause and its charismatic leader (Philip Seymour Hoffman). (Credit: The Weinstein Company)

MOVIE PICKS

BEST MOTION PICTURE -- DRAMA

* "Argo"

* "Django Unchained"

* "Life of Pi"

* "Lincoln"

* "Zero Dark Thirty"

SHOULD WIN "Zero Dark Thirty." Kathryn Bigelow's fictionalized version of the hunt for Osama bin Laden worked as a gripping spy-thriller but raised discomfiting questions about the cost of triumph.

WILL WIN "Zero Dark Thirty"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE -- DRAMA

* Daniel Day-Lewis, "Lincoln"

* Richard Gere, "Arbitrage"

* John Hawkes, "The Sessions"

* Joaquin Phoenix, "The Master"

* Denzel Washington, "Flight"

SHOULD WIN Phoenix, who's almost painful to watch as an emotionally damaged war veteran. It's the year's most intense performance.

WILL WIN Day-Lewis. The fix was in on this long ago, but there's no arguing with his bravura performance as our 16th president.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE -- DRAMA

* Jessica Chastain, "Zero Dark Thirty"

* Marion Cotillard, "Rust and Bone"

* Helen Mirren, "Hitchcock"

* Naomi Watts, "The Impossible"

* Rachel Weisz, "The Deep Blue Sea"

SHOULD WIN Chastain. Her performance as a laser-focused CIA agent wasn't emotive but tightly nailed-down, and all the more effective for it.

WILL WIN Chastain

BEST MOTION PICTURE -- COMEDY OR MUSICAL

* "The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel"

* "Les Misérables"

* "Moonrise Kingdom"

* "Salmon Fishing in the Yemen"

* "Silver Linings Playbook"

SHOULD WIN "Silver Linings Playbook." It's the rare romantic comedy that actually deserves to be taken seriously.

WILL WIN "Silver Linings Playbook," by a nose over "Les Miz"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE -- COMEDY OR MUSICAL

* Jack Black, "Bernie"

* Bradley Cooper, "Silver Linings Playbook"

* Hugh Jackman, "Les Misérables"

* Ewan McGregor, "Salmon Fishing in the Yemen"

* Bill Murray, "Hyde Park on Hudson"

SHOULD WIN Jackman. As the former convict Jean Valjean, he pours out the emotion in a way few screen actors can -- especially while singing straight into a camera.

WILL WIN Jackman

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE -- COMEDY OR MUSICAL

* Emily Blunt, "Salmon Fishing in the Yemen"

* Judi Dench, "The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel"

* Jennifer Lawrence, "Silver Linings Playbook"

* Maggie Smith, "Quartet"

* Meryl Streep, "Hope Springs"

SHOULD WIN Lawrence. As a young widow with mental problems, she's funny, fierce and the kind of leading lady you can root for.

WILL WIN Lawrence

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

* Alan Arkin, "Argo"

* Leonardo DiCaprio, "Django Unchained"

* Philip Seymour Hoffman, "The Master"

* Tommy Lee Jones, "Lincoln"

* Christoph Waltz, "Django Unchained"

SHOULD WIN Hoffman, as a dubious but charismatic spiritual guru. He effortlessly matches his co-star Phoenix scene for astounding scene.

WILL WIN Hoffman

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

* Amy Adams, "The Master"

* Sally Field, "Lincoln"

* Anne Hathaway, "Les Misérables"

* Helen Hunt, "The Sessions"

* Nicole Kidman, "The Paperboy"

SHOULD WIN Hathaway, as the martyred Fantine. Like her co-star Jackman, she gives this role her full-throated all.

WILL WIN Hathaway

BEST DIRECTOR

* Ben Affleck, "Argo"

* Kathryn Bigelow, "Zero Dark Thirty"

* Ang Lee, "Life of Pi"

* Steven Spielberg, "Lincoln"

* Quentin Tarantino, "Django Unchained"

SHOULD WIN Bigelow. The Globes overlooked her in 2010, and this way they can one-up the Oscars by crowning their second female director (after Barbra Streisand, for 1983's "Yentl").

WILL WIN Bigelow

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