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GRAMMY PREDIX: Record of the Year, Adele's "Rolling in the Deep"

In this photo released by NBC Universal, recording

In this photo released by NBC Universal, recording artist Adele performs on the "Today" show, Friday, Feb. 18, 2011 in New York. (AP Photo/Peter Kramer, NBC) NO SALES (Credit: AP Photo/Peter Kramer)

Welcome to Grammy Weekend! We'll be preparing for Music's Biggest Night by looking at the top categories and predicting who will win. (Hint: Adele.) We'll also be live-blogging the red carpet arrivals and pre-show awards starting at 4 p.m. Sunday here, as well as the big show starting at 8 p.m.

Record of The Year nominees:

Adele, “Rolling In The Deep”

Bon Iver, “Holocene”

Bruno Mars, “Grenade”

Mumford & Sons, “The Cave”

Katy Perry, “Firework”

WILL WIN: “Rolling in the Deep.” It's a break-up song that's both bluesy and triumphant, memorable and fresh even after the hundredth (thousandth?) time. It also serves well to capsulize the year in music, the event that people will remember when they think of 2011. "Firework" comes close to that definition too, but it has lyrical flaws that are hard to overcome.

SHOULD WIN: “Rolling in the Deep”

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