Golden Globes: TV nominations and predictions

Dan Stevens stars as Matthew Crawley and Michelle Dan Stevens stars as Matthew Crawley and Michelle Dockery as Lady Mary in "Downton Abbey," on PBS. Photo Credit: Handout

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TV PICKS

BEST DRAMA

* "Boardwalk Empire," HBO

* "Breaking Bad," AMC

* "Downton Abbey," PBS

* "Homeland," Showtime

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* "The Newsroom," HBO

SHOULD WIN "Breaking Bad" -- it is the best show of this group, after all. Would make sense, no?

WILL WIN "Homeland" -- The Globes don't want to disavow last year's choice, and "Homeland" is,

after all, the flavor of the month.

BEST COMEDY

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* "The Big Bang Theory," CBS

* "Episodes," Showtime

* "Girls," HBO

* "Modern Family," ABC

* "Smash," NBC

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SHOULD WIN "Girls" -- Hey, maybe the Globes will get this one right!

WILL WIN "Girls" -- The Globes desperately want to look like the "cool" awards show, and also to stick it to the Emmys, which overlooked this. "Girls" should help with both goals.

BEST ACTOR/DRAMA

* Steve Buscemi, "Boardwalk Empire"

* Bryan Cranston, "Breaking Bad"

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* Jeff Daniels, "The Newsroom"

* Jon Hamm, "Mad Men"

* Damian Lewis, "Homeland"

SHOULD WIN Cranston. 'Bout time -- but don't expect this because the Globes don't like to ape favored sons of the Emmys.

WILL WIN Daniels -- The Globes' voters (comprising mostly foreign reporters who work in Hollywood) think his character is how American TV anchors should (and probably do) behave.

Plus, he's a big-screen actor, and they love that, too.

BEST ACTRESS/DRAMA

* Connie Britton, "Nashville"

* Glenn Close, "Damages"

* Claire Danes, "Homeland"

* Michelle Dockery, "Downton Abbey"

* Julianna Margulies, "The Good Wife"

SHOULD WIN Dockery, though the competition is rough here. Highly unusual if the worthy Close gets this, as her last Globe win was back in 2007; rarely, if ever, do the Globes give a repeat win to someone over such a long period.

WILL WIN Dockery, because Globe voters know they've made a mistake not honoring "Downton" earlier; this should make up for that.

BEST ACTOR/COMEDY

* Alec Baldwin, "30 Rock"

* Louis C.K., "Louie"

* Don Cheadle, "House of Lies"

* Matt LeBlanc, "Episodes"

* Jim Parsons, "The Big Bang Theory"

SHOULD WIN Louis C.K. Maybe too bleak for the walk-on-the-sunny-side-of-the-street Globe voters.

WILL WIN Cheadle, because the Emmys didn't honor him for the same role last season. (Take that!)

BEST ACTRESS/COMEDY

* Zooey Deschanel, "New Girl"

* Lena Dunham, "Girls"

* Tina Fey, "30 Rock"

* Julia Louis-Dreyfus, "Veep"

* Amy Poehler, "Parks and Recreation"

SHOULD WIN Poehler. If anyone anywhere in any of the TV categories is more worthy of a win Sunday night than Poehler -- who will be co-hosting with Fey -- then I'm not sure who that is.

WILL WIN Deschanel.

Yup, if only to stick it to the Emmys, who gave Julia Louis-Dreyfus their trophy last year.

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