Either Michael Lynche or Casey James is headed home tonight on "American Idol" according to our expert Newsday panel (none of us correctly picked Aaron Kelly to go home last week).

Which means, if you believe us, that Lee DeWyze and Crystal Bowersox are locks to make the final three (as has been pretty obvious since almost the start of the finals).

Jonathan McCarthy stays in first place, with Peggy Lundquist leading two other strong contenders via the tiebreaker for second.

Here are all our picks, below. (Scoring system for tonight: You get two points for correctly picking who's going home)

Jonathan McCarthy (4-4, 22 points)
-Michael Lynche (going home)

Peggy Lundquist (5-3, 20 points)
-Michael Lynche (going home)

Adam Abramson (4-4, 20 points)
-Michael Lynche (going home)

Jamshid Mousavinezhad (4-4, 20 points)
-Michael Lynche (going home)

Glenn Gamboa (4-4, 17 points)
-Casey James (going home)

Verne Gay (3-4, 16 points)
-Casey James (going home)

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Daniel Bubbeo (3-5, 15 points)
-Michael Lynche (going home)

Eileen Fredes (3-4, 15 points)
-Casey James (going home)

Ronnie Gill (1-7, 15 points)
-Casey James (going home) 

Anne Bratskeir (2-3, 8 points)
-Michael Lynche (going home)

PHOTOS: "American Idol" final round | "Idol Cares" celebs and performers | "Idol" top 12 party with "Glee" stars

REWIND: See the winners and top finalists from each season of "American Idol"

MORE: Read all of our other "American Idol" posts

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