Suozzi ahead 47-40 in 3rd Congressional District

Democrat Tom Suozzi leads Republican Jack Martins by 7 points in the 3rd Congressional District race in a Newsday/Siena College poll released Nov. 5, 2016.


Suozzi leads in the race overall


That lead follows party lines and matched political views of poll respondents, with more conservative and Republican voters supporting Martins and more liberal and Democratic voters backing Suozzi. Here are other breakdowns:


Suozzi has his widest lead in Nassau County . . .


. . . and he has a wider lead among the college educated


Interactive charts via amCharts

The poll was conducted among 614 likely voters from Oct. 30 to Nov. 1, with a margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points. You can read more about the poll here. Here are more details:


3rd Congressional District voter breakdown


Voters in the district were asked whom they would vote for if the election were held today.

SuozziMartinsDon't know
Total47%40%13%
PARTY   
Democratic81%12%6%
Republican15%73%12%
Independent / Other43%44%13%
GENDER   
Male42%43%15%
Female52%37%11%
REGION   
Nassau51%40%10%
Queens43%29%27%
Suffolk44%44%12%
AGE   
18-3449%38%13%
35-5449%43%8%
55+49%40%11%
RELIGION   
Catholic32%58%11%
Jewish79%15%6%
Protestant49%42%9%
Other religion60%26%14%
POLITICAL VIEW   
Liberal90%5%5%
Moderate49%39%12%
Conservative15%73%12%
EDUCATION   
Less than college39%47%14%
College degree52%39%9%

Voters in the district were also asked whom they would vote for if the presidential election were held today. (Those who chose "someone else," "don't know" or "no opinion" are combined under "other.") Here's how they answered:


ClintonTrumpJohnsonSteinOther
Total44%43%2%2%8%
PARTY     
Democrat77%11%1%4%7%
Republican9%81%3%1%7%
Independent / Other43%48%5%1%3%
GENDER     
Male36%48%4%3%8%
Female50%39%1%1%9%
VOTE CHOICE     
Suozzi78%14%2%2%5%
Martins8%84%2%2%3%
REGION     
Nassau45%42%3%2%8%
Queens42%39%3%4%13%
Suffolk42%48%2%1%7%
AGE     
18-3451%33%6%8%2%
35-5437%50%3%2%7%
55+48%44%1%1%6%
RELIGION     
Catholic27%63%2%0%7%
Jewish77%16%1%3%3%
Protestant43%43%1%7%6%
Other58%25%6%3%7%
POLITICAL VIEW     
Liberal88%3%1%4%4%
Moderate48%39%3%3%7%
Conservative8%83%3%0%6%
EDUCATION     
Less than college35%53%3%1%7%
College degree49%40%2%3%6%

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