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Premature predictions, a political perennial
Politics is full of people who were widely supposed to have left by now.
Loose talk of Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo somehow shoving Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver (D-Manhattan) out the door comes and goes -- a cycle now in its fourth year.
Senior Rep. Charles Rangel (D-Manhattan) has been written off several times since 2008, having gotten into ethics trouble and lost his committee chairmanship.
Detractors routinely classify GOP chairman Edward Cox as toast.
In November, the early odds had U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder moving on. He hasn't.
Each case is different, but premature write-offs are common.