Spin Cycle

News, views and commentary on Long Island, state and national politics.

Dan Ross’ chances for an improbable comeback in a state Senate race went from slim to none Thursday after officials plowed through nearly 12,000 “emergency” paper ballots that were cast because of problems stemming from superstorm Sandy.

Ross, a Manhasset Democrat, began the day about 3,598 votes behind Sen. Jack Martins (R-Mineola) with about 24,000 paper ballots outstanding (emergency, affidavit and absentee ballots).

By Thursday afternoon, the Nassau County Board of Elections counted the 11,683 emergency ballots – and Martins’ lead grew to 4,171.

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There are still 7,003 absentee ballots and 5,287 affidavit ballots; historically, about half of the affidavit ballots are ripe for disqualification.

So even if there are 10,000 votes still to be counted, Ross would have to get about 7,200 – or 72 percent. 

Which means the race is effectively over, barring some unforeseen event.