Spin Cycle

News, views and commentary on Long Island, state and national politics.

ALBANY -- Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump in Florida and Pennsylvania, which are two key battleground states, according to the NBC News /Wall Street Journal / Marist Poll released Monday.

advertisement | advertise on newsday

The poll conducted before Sunday’s second presidential debate showed Clinton leading Trump 45-42 percent in Florida among likely voters including undecided voters leaning toward one candidate. Clinton held a 49-37 percent lead in Pennsylvania, the poll showed.

“Florida has voted for the winner in 12 of the last 13 presidential elections dating back to 1964,” says Lee M. Miringoff, director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “It’s hard to see how Trump can win the White House without carrying this state.”

Clinton’s advantage in Florida appears to be due in a large part to her support by African-Americans and Latinos, Miringoff said.

The poll questioned 1,131 voters from Oct. 3 to Wednesday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.