Forecasters are hopeful that a nor'easter churning off the coast will pass to the south of the Hudson Valley in the middle of the week, but they're keeping a wary eye it.
The storm, which was off the Chesapeake Bay on Monday morning, has a 60-70 percent chance of passing mostly to the south and east of the area when it comes through Tuesday night and Wednesday, National Weather Service meteorologist Mike Layer said.
However, "Even if this winter storm passes, there will still be some gusty winds" of 30-35 mph Wednesday morning and afternoon before winds calm down Wednesday evening, according to Layer.
If the storm hits, light snow would begin late Tuesday night as temperatures fall into the high 20s and low 30s, Layer said. On Wednesday, any snow likely would turn to rain in the afternoon as temperatures climb into the high 30s before turning back into snow at night, Layer said.
It's too early to project worst-case scenario accumulations, Layer added, beyond saying "significant" totals are possible, with the rain-snow mix raising the potential for hazardous driving conditions.
"There's definitely the potential for slick roads," Layer said.
The greatest potential for significant accumulations lies in lower Westchester and the Sound Shore, he added.
News12 meteorologist Brysen Van Eck is tentatively forecasting the nor'easter to miss the region but said at midday Monday that computer models are showing a higher probability it will hit than they had earlier in the day.
Until then, Monday and the bulk of Tuesday look dry.
"No worries today, no worries tomorrow," Van Eck said.
Tuesday will be clear unless the nor'easter moves in late, with a high of 42 degrees.
Some lingering rain would hang around the area Thursday morning as temperatures warm up to a midday high around 40, with partly sunny skies taking over as the remnants of the storm move out, Layer said.
On Friday, it'll be mostly sunny, with a high of about 45 and low winds, according to the National Weather Service.
Looking ahead, "The weekend looks dry, with highs up to 50," Van Eck said.