On-Base Perception

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Yankees' playoff chances flatlining

Yankees' Alex Rodriguez sits in the dugout as

Yankees' Alex Rodriguez sits in the dugout as Derek Jeter stands next to him during the first inning against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. (Sept. 13, 2013) (Credit: AP)

The American League Wild Cards are coming into focus as the season draws to a close.

Here’s an outlook of each of the contending teams, ordered by their odds of making the playoffs (as determined by Baseball Prospectus):

TAMPA BAY RAYS (88-69)
Standing: Lead the first Wild Card by 1 game
Games left: 5
Postseason probability: 95.3 percent
Schedule: 2 @ Yankees, 3 @ Blue Jays
The Rays will try to eliminate the Yankees from postseason contention on Wednesday.

CLEVELAND INDIANS (87-70)
Standing: Lead the second Wild Card
Games left: 5
Postseason probability: 65 percent
Schedule: 1 vs. White Sox, 4 @ Twins
Jason Giambi is still getting it done, hitting a walk-off home run to lead the Indians over the White Sox on Tuesday.

TEXAS RANGERS (86-71)
Standing: 1 game back
Games left: 5
Postseason probability: 39.7 percent
Schedule: 1 vs. Astros, 4 vs. Angels
The Rangers are finally remembering how to win -- but is it too late?

KANSAS CITY ROYALS (83-74)
Standing: 4 games back
Games left: 5
Postseason probability: 0 percent
Schedule: 1 @ Mariners, 4 @ White Sox
A valiant late-season push for the Wild Card is about to come up just short.

YANKEES (82-75)
Standing: 5 games back
Games left: 5
Postseason probability: 0 percent
Schedule: 2 vs. Rays, 3 @ Astros
The Yankees were shut out by Tampa Bay, 7-0, and face elimination on Wednesday.

Tags: Baltimore Orioles , Yankees , Wild Card , Tampa Bay Rays , Cleveland Indians , Kansas City Royals , Texas Rangers

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