NFL Gridiron Guide Week 14: Stay away from Giants, Jets

Eli Manning reacts during the first half against

Eli Manning reacts during the first half against the Green Bay Packers at MetLife Stadium. (Nov. 17, 2013) (Credit: Getty)

John Boell

Newsday sports writer John Boell John Boell

Boell has worked in the Newsday sports department in various

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JETS/GIANTS

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GIANTS (5-7) at CHARGERS (5-7), 4:25 p.m.

Chargers by 3; O/U: 47 1/2

TV: Ch. 5. Radio: WFAN (660, 101.9)

It was almost 10 years ago that Eli Manning snubbed the Chargers and told them: Thanks, but no thanks . . . please don't draft me! Well, San Diego still took Manning as the No. 1 overall pick. Manning was later traded to the Giants for Philip Rivers and three draft picks. I'm not sure either team could complain on how that swap worked, especially Big Blue: 147 consecutive starts and don't forget about two Lombardi Trophies for Manning. Rivers has a streak of 124 straight starts but is 3-5 in the postseason. So, who will cover in this one? The G-Men have won five of their last six, while the Bolts have only won once in their last five games. But the Giants are 3-7 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 road games. Call it a hunch.

The pick: Chargers

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RAIDERS (4-8) at JETS (5-7), 1 p.m.

Jets by 2 1/2; O/U: 40

TV: Ch. 2; Radio: ESPN (98.7).

Did you happen to catch Rex Ryan talk on the radio about keeping Geno Smith as the Jets starting quarterback earlier this week? You would have thought Rexy was going to have root canal. His response was low-key and tepid. Wasn't it just a month or two ago that Smith was a can't-miss QB, Ryan and his 'D' were awesome, and John Idzik was the next genius GM? The Jets are a hot mess right now. Gang Green has dropped its last four covers vs. AFC foes, while the Raiders are 7-2-1 ATS in last 10 vs. AFC opponents. Nothing would surprise me here.

The pick: Raiders

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1 pm games

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LIONS (7-5) at EAGLES (7-5)

Eagles by 2 1/2; O/U: 54

Well, look who has a four-game winning streak, including two straight at home. Nice job, Iggles! Nick Foles won't get a sniff of MVP consideration (probably a three-way race for Peyton Manning, Russell Wilson and Cam Newton), but the Eagles quarterback is having one heck of a season: 19 touchdowns and no interceptions for a ridiculous 125.2 QB rating. Eagles coach Chip Kelly said of Foles, "He's our starting quarterback for the next 1,000 years here." Trouble is, Foles and Philly haven't faced a defense as tough and nasty as the Lions yet. Plus, Detroit has had extra time off since feasting on the Packers Thanksgiving.

The pick: Lions

 

 

COLTS (8-4)

at BENGALS (8-4)

Bengals by 6 1/2; O/U: 43 1/2

This could be the sneaky-good game of the week. Editor Joe keeps telling me the Colts are frauds. They're not as good as last season, but I won't go that far. The Bengals are 5-0 ATS at home this season. They can't keep that perfect streak going, can they? I'll roll the dice here and try to get Luck-y.

The pick: Colts

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DOLPHINS (6-6)

at STEELERS (5-7)

Steelers by 3; O/U: 40 1/2

Did I ever tell you about the time I was coaching my son's Pee-Wee football game when I ran on the field and made a tackle? OK, so it's not true. But I can neither confirm nor deny the fact that Steelers coach Mike Tomlin called me before Thanksgiving to ask me how he should motivate his troops. I guess it's not a good time to ask him for some extra holiday cash after that $100G fine. I'll go with Miami . . . unless Tomlin crosses the line again.

The pick: Dolphins

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FALCONS (3-9)

at PACKERS (5-6-1)

OFF; O/U: OFF (Green Bay QB)

I've seen this line as Packers minus 7. Really? They haven't won since Aaron Rodgers was injured. Stay away from this one.

The pick: Falcons

 

 

BROWNS (4-8)

at PATRIOTS (9-3)

OFF; O/U: OFF (Cleveland QB)

Pats minus 10 is standard line. Note to NFL security guards: Stay away from Tom Brady. No in-game picks or postgame pics!

The pick: Patriots

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CHIEFS (9-3)

at REDSKINS (3-9)

Chiefs by 3; O/U: 45

The Redskins are one of only two teams to be an underdog at home this week. The Chiefs are 0-3 after starting 9-0, but they should be able to get back on track against the Redskins' porous defense.

The pick: Chiefs

 

 

BILLS (4-8) at BUCS (3-9)

Bucs by 2 1/2; O/U: 42 1/2

The Bills have dropped four of their last five, while the Bucs have covered four of their last five.

The pick: Bucs

 

 

VIKINGS (3-8-1)

at RAVENS (6-6)

Ravens by 6 1/2; O/U: 42 1/2

The Vikes have dropped four straight covers the last four times they've come off a win, and are 2-5 ATS in their last seven following a cover. The Ravens are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games. Worth a shot.

The pick: Ravens

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4 PM AND LATER GAMES

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SEAHAWKS (11-1)

at 49ERS (8-4), 4:25 p.m.

49ers by 2 1/2; O/U: 41

The 49ers should be happy they're home against Seattle, the NFL's best home team. Not only are the Seahawks coming off an impressive pounding of the Saints on Monday night, but they beat the 49ers by 26 at Seattle back in Week 2. Against the Saints, the Seattle fans set a record for the loudest outdoor sports stadium (137.6 decibels). Props to the fans of the Great Northwest. Even without the 12th man, Seattle will get it done.

The pick: Seahawks

 

 

TITANS (5-7) at

BRONCOS (10-2), 4:05 p.m.

Broncos by 12; O/U: 49 1/2

Did you see Peyton Manning get a little snippy when asked if he was a different (see: worse) QB when the game-time temp is 32 degrees or colder? Don't worry, Peyton, we know you're going to be on fire against Tennessee.

The pick: Broncos

 

 

RAMS (5-7) at

CARDINALS (7-5), 4:25 p.m.

Cardinals by 6 1/2; O/U: 41 1/2

The Cards play their best ball at home and will need to against the pesky Rams if they want to stay in the hunt for a wild-card spot.

The pick: Cardinals

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PANTHERS (9-3) at

SAINTS (9-3), 8:30 p.m.

Saints by 3; O/U: 451/2

TV: Ch. 4

Radio: WFAN (660, 101.9)

The Saints are 6-0 at home and 5-1 ATS, but I can't pick against the Panthers, one of the best bets (8-4 ATS) this season. Carolina has won eight straight and has covered in seven of its last eight.

The pick: Panthers

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monday night

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COWBOYS (7-5) at

BEARS (6-6), 8:40 p.m.

Bears by 1; O/U: 49 1/2

TV: ESPN

Radio: WFAN (660, 101.9)

Chicago, an NFL-worst 2-9-1 ATS this season, is due for a cover. But I just can't back the Bears -- especially at home. They're 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 home games, and 5-17-1 ATS in last 23 overall.

The pick: Cowboys----

JOHN BOELL 84-101-7, 3-10 best bets

Last week: 9-6-1

Raiders Chargers Lions Colts

Dolphins Falcons Patriots Chiefs

Bucs Ravens Seahawks Broncos

Cardinals Panthers Cowboys (best bet)

BOB GLAUBER 101-84-7, 5-6-2

Last week: 12-3-1

Jets Giants Lions Bengals

Steelers Packers Patriots Chiefs

Bills Ravens 49ers Broncos

Cardinals (best bet) Panthers Cowboys

TOM ROCK 88-97-7, 5-8

Last week: 5-8

Raiders Giants Eagles Bengals

Dolphins Packers Patriots Chiefs (best bet)

Bucs Vikings Seahawks Titans

Rams Saints Cowboys

KIMBERLEY A. MARTIN 97-88-7, 4-9

Last week: 9-6-1

Jets Giants Lions Bengals

Steelers Packers

Patriots (best bet) Chiefs

Bucs Ravens Seahawks Broncos

Rams Saints Cowboys