In one of my all-time favorite movies -- “The Usual Suspects” – the character Verbal utters this line:

“To a cop the explanation is never that complicated. It's always simple. There's no mystery to the street, no arch criminal behind it all. If you got a dead body and you think his brother did it, you're gonna find out you're right.”

I thought of that line this afternoon when I was talking with Mike Garafolo at the NFL Play 60 event in Central Park and we were discussing who the Giants would pick. There were a few names that were thrown out in the conversation, a few outside-the-box thoughts. But then I thought about ol’ Verbal.

If you got a dead body and you think his brother did it, you’re gonna find out you’re right.

If you got a team without a middle linebacker and you think they’ll pick one, you’re gonna find out you’re right.

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That’s why I’m saying that the Giants will select Rolando McClain. Because he’s the guy who made the most sense six months ago, he’s the guy who made the most sense three months ago, he’s the guy who made the most sense three weeks ago, and today, this evening, about 24 hours before the start of the first round of the 2010 NFL draft, he’s the guy who makes the most sense for them right now.

Are the Giants enchanted by C.J. Spiller? Sure, but who isn’t. Could they try to cram outside linebacker Sean Weatherspoon into the middle? Probably, but not for a 15th pick. Can they find an offensive lineman or a defensive lineman who would be a good investment in the first round. Absolutely. But McClain is an NFL-ready inside linebacker. He’s what the Giants need and he’s in their neighborhood at 15.

Getting him could be a little more dramatic, of course. Other teams are interested in McClain. I write about that in this story that will appear in tomorrow’s paper. But I suspect the Giants will get things done simply and efficiently tomorrow night.

Then again, if you saw “The Usual Suspects,” you know that nothing is really all that simple.