NFL Gridiron Guide Week 4 picks: Underdog Giants, Jets will cover the spread
GIANTS (0-3) at CHIEFS (3-0), 1 p.m.
Chiefs by 4; O/U: 44
TV: Ch. 5; Radio: WCBS (101.1)
If it wasn't for the Giants' 38-0 pummeling against the Panthers last week, my 5-10-1 showing in Week 3 would've been the lead on Sunday night's SportsCenter. Last week's defeat was the worst in the Tom Coughlin era. This will feel like an NFC East matchup as the G-Men (0-3 against the spread) battle former Philly coach Andy Reid and his new-look Chiefs. Their West Coast offense features running back Jamaal Charles, who is a big part of the passing game. That said, I just can't see the Giants starting 0-4, especially under Coughlin.
The pick: Giants
JETS (2-1) at TITANS (2-1), 4:05 p.m.
Titans by 3 1/2; O/U: 39 1/2
TV: Ch. 2; Radio: ESPN (98.7)
The Jets are one of four teams with a 3-0 ATS record. I don't know what has been more surprising: the play of the Jets' offensive line or their defense as a whole. Let's just call it a push. This could be a big AFC game for both teams who had long-shot playoff hopes coming into the season. A win here vaults the Jets to 3-1. They need to stay close with undefeated division rivals New England and Miami. The Titans are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games against teams with a winning record.
The pick: Jets
1 P.M. GAMES
SEAHAWKS (3-0) at TEXANS (2-1)
Seahawks by 2 1/2; O/U: 41 1/2
Seattle is 3-0 against the spread (ATS); Houston is 0-3. Seattle is 25-9-1 ATS in its last 35 overall.
The pick: Seahawks
RAVENS (2-1) at BILLS (1-2)
Ravens by 3; O/U: 44
Baltimore pounded Houston last week -- without Ray Rice. Even if he doesn't play, the Ravens have enough to handle the Bills.
The pick: Ravens
BENGALS (2-1) at BROWNS (1-2)
Bengals by 4; O/U: 42
Home underdogs are 8-5 ATS this season, and the underdog is 10-1-1 ATS in the teams' last 12 meetings. Worth a shot.
The pick: Browns
COLTS (2-1) at JAGS (0-3)
Colts by 8; O/U: 42 1/2
Indy's win at San Fran last week was one of the most impressive wins I've seen in awhile. Imagine what Trent Richardson will do now that he's learned playbook.
The pick: Colts
BEARS (3-0) at LIONS (2-1)
Lions by 3; O/U: 47 1/2
The Bears usually struggle in Motown (2-5 ATS in last seven) but I like Chicago getting three points in what I expect to be a close divisional game.
The pick: Bears
STEELERS (0-3) vs. VIKINGS (0-3) -- London
Steelers by 3; O/U: 42
On behalf of American football fans, I'd like to formally apologize to the good people of London for the NFL sending a pair of 0-3 teams over the pond. Yuck! I'd rather watch some English Premier League.
The pick: Steelers
CARDS (1-2) at BUCS (0-3)
Bucs by 2 1/2; O/U: 40 1/2
The NFL's best soap opera takes place in Tampa Bay. In this week's episode, Bucs coach Greg Schiano replaces QB Josh Freeman with rookie Mike Glennon. If the Bucs keep losing, Schiano might be the next one to get the boot.
The pick: Cardinals
4 P.M. AND LATER
EAGLES (1-2) at BRONCOS (3-0)
Broncos by 10 1/2; O/U: 58
Peyton Manning has thrown a record 12 TDs in the first three weeks of the season. The book of Manning adds big chapter here.
The pick: Broncos
COWBOYS (2-1) at CHARGERS (1-2)
Cowboys by 2; O/U: 47
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last seven road games. Tread lightly here.
The pick: Cowboys
REDSKINS (0-3) at RAIDERS (1-2)
Redskins by 3; O/U: 44
Last year's Redskins will show up as RG3 gets win No. 1 this week.
The pick: Redskins
PATRIOTS (3-0) at FALCONS (1-2), 8:30 p.m.
Falcons by 2; O/U: 50
TV: Ch. 4 Radio: WFAN (660, 101.9)
The Pats have covered five straight since 2010 as an underdog.
The pick: Patriots
DOLPHINS (3-0) at SAINTS (3-0), 8:40 p.m.
Saints by 6 1/2; O/U: 48
TV: ESPN Radio: WFAN (660, 101.9)
Miami is one of the early season surprises. However, I think playing at New Orleans on national TV is too big an order for the Fins. The Saints have covered six of their last eight regular-season home games.
The pick: Saints
STAFF PICKS (best bets in bold)
JOHN BOELL: 23-22-3, 0-3 best bets, Last week: 5-10-1
Giants Jets Seahawks Ravens Browns Colts Bears Steelers Cardinals Broncos Cowboys Redskins Patriots Saints
BOB GLAUBER: 25-20-3, 1-1-1, Last week: 10-5-1
Giants Jets Texans Ravens Bengals Colts Lions Steelers Cardinals Broncos Chargers Redskins Falcons Saints
KIMBERLEY A. MARTIN: 25-20-3, 1-2, Last week: 7-8-1
Giants Titans Texans Ravens Bengals Colts Bears Steelers Bucs Broncos Cowboys Redskins Falcons Saints
TOM ROCK: 21-24-3, 0-3, Last week: 8-7-1
Giants Jets Seahawks Bills Bengals Colts Bears Steelers Bucs Broncos Chargers Raiders Patriots Dolphins