GIANTS (4-4) AT BUCS (3-4), 4:05 p.m.
TV: Ch. 5; Radio: WFAN (660, 101.9)
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Giants by 2 1/2; O/U: 49
This just in: The Giants have allowed another TD pass by Drew Brees. Last week, it felt as if the NFL RedZone was only showing highlights from the 101-point shootout. Giants-Bucs won't approach triple digits, but the winner likely will need 30 points. The Giants allow 26 points per game and the Bucs allow 28.4. After a 1-3 start, the Bucs have played well, and if not for a meltdown against the Redskins, would be on a three-game winning streak. Last week, they went into Atlanta and pulled off the upset. Jameis Winston is gaining confidence, and like Eli Manning, he's got a super-talented receiver who wears No. 13: Mike Evans, who was chosen five spots ahead of Odell Beckham Jr. in the 2014 draft. I expect big plays from both of them. Even if Jason Pierre-Paul plays, I don't think he's enough to fix this defense. Winning is contagious, and the Bucs are a young and hungry team that are underdogs only because the betting public isn't buying them yet. That changes this week.
The pick: Bucs
JAGUARS (2-5) AT JETS (4-3), 1 p.m.
TV: Ch. 2; Radio: ESPN (98.7)
Jets by 7; O/U: 42 1/2
There was no spread for this game much of the week because, well, the Jets didn't have a starting quarterback. Once news broke that Ryan Fitzpatrick would be able to play through his thumb injury, it was set at a touchdown. The Jets have allowed a combined 64 points in back-to-back losses but now get some good news: The Jaguars are in town. Jacksonville has allowed 29.6 points per game, the second most in the NFL. I can't see it covering on the road against a Jets defense that will be angry and wants to prove it's still elite. Chris Ivory hasn't done anything in two weeks, and he's due for a big day. Jets win by 10.
The pick: Jets
1 P.M. GAMES
PACKERS (6-1) AT PANTHERS (7-0)
Packers by 2 1/2; O/U: 45 1/2
Aaron Rodgers was so bad in Denver last week, he scored fewer fantasy points than most kickers! Carolina is on a short week, having played four-plus quarters to hold on for a thrilling OT win on Monday night. Carolina is undefeated, but there's a reason Green Bay is a road favorite in this one: Rodgers hasn't lost back-to-back games since 2010, and I expect him and the Pack to bounce back. The pick: Packers
RAMS (4-3) AT VIKINGS (5-2)
Vikings by 2; O/U: 39 1/2
Radio: WNYM (970)
These are two evenly matched teams that likely will contend for a NFC wild-card spot. In a toss-up game, I'll favor the Rams because of Todd Gurley and their pass rush.
The pick: Rams
REDSKINS (3-4) AT PATRIOTS (7-0)
Patriots by 14; O/U: 51 1/2
"You like that! You like that!" If you haven't seen Kirk Cousins' celebratory postgame video from two weeks ago, find it and thank me later. You know what I like? Picking the Patriots. They're 4-2-1 against the spread (ATS), and could be 7-0 if not for three backdoor covers. In Washington's three wins, Cousins has zero INTs. In its four losses, he has eight. I'll bank on Bill Belichick finding a way to pick on him, and the Pats putting up 30-40 points.
The pick: Patriots
TITANS (1-6) AT SAINTS (4-4)
Saints by 7 1/2; O/U: 48
The Titans just fired their coach, and have lost six in a row. They average the second-fewest points per game (17.9), and won't score enough to stay inside the number.
The pick: Saints
RAIDERS (4-3) AT STEELERS (4-4)
Steelers by 4 1/2; O/U: 47 1/2
Both teams are looking up at runaway trains in their division, so a wild card is likely the only route to the playoffs. Derek Carr & Co. just lit up the Jets, proving they're for real. This should be a high-scoring game that won't be decided until late. Give me the points.
The pick: Raiders
DOLPHINS (3-4) AT BILLS (3-4)
Bills by 3; O/U: 44
We might see the first postgame chest bump between coaches as this game features the intense Rex Ryan and Dan Campbell. The last time we saw the Bills, they lost in London. I like Miami because of its offensive playmakers and the revenge factor: Buffalo won by 27 at Miami in Week 3. Payback time. The pick: Dolphins
4 P.M. GAMES
LOCK OF THE WEEK: BRONCOS (7-0) AT COLTS (3-5)
TV: Ch. 2
Broncos by 5; O/U: 45
Denver was Vegas' best friend last week. The betting public was all over Green Bay. Then, Peyton Manning and the running game snapped out of their funk, and Denver's top-ranked defense had its signature moment of the season by holding Aaron Rodgers to 77 yards passing. Denver's 'D' has been so impressive, it should get its own commercial. Manning's successor in Indy, Andrew Luck, may want to sit this one out against Denver's pass rush and its league-high 29 sacks. One more reason to back Denver: It will want payback for Indy ending its season last year in the playoffs. If this game is competitive, I'll be shocked.
The pick: Broncos
FALCONS (6-2) AT 49ERS (2-6)
Falcons by 7; O/U: 44 1/2
This line jumped three points after the 49ers benched Colin Kaepernick for Blaine Gabbert, and traded Vernon Davis. San Francisco has played well at home, but it's hard to trust Gabbert and his 5-22 record as an NFL starter. Plus, Atlanta is coming off an upset loss at home, and will have a chip on its shoulder.
The pick: Falcons
EAGLES (3-4) AT COWBOYS (2-5), 8:20 p.m.
TV: Ch. 4; Radio: WFAN (660, 101.9)
Eagles by 2 1/2; O/U: 44
Win at Dallas, and lose at home against the Cowboys. That's been the pattern in Chip Kelly's two-plus seasons as Eagles coach. It continued in 2015 as Philly lost at home to Dallas in Week 2. That was the game Tony Romo went down. Dallas is 0-5 without him, and its quarterback play has kept it from prevailing in winnable games against the Saints, Giants and Seahawks. Dallas' defense has kept it in games, and I think it can get to Sam Bradford. Dez Bryant finds the end zone as Dallas gets back into the win column . . . and, believe it or not, the NFC East race.
The pick: Cowboys
BEARS (2-5) AT CHARGERS (2-6), 8:30 p.m.
TV: ESPN; Radio: WFAN (660, 101.9)
Chargers by 4; O/U: 49 1/2
You think Monday Night Football wishes they can flex games the way Sunday Night Football does? These teams have been hit with the injury bug. The Chargers lost a heartbreaker at home on Monday in Week 5, the start of a four-game skid in which they've been outscored by 22 points. Translation: a lot of close games. Underdogs on Monday night are 7-2, and I can see another close one.
The pick: Bears
STAFF PICKS (Best bets in all caps)
JOE MANNIELLO (58-57-4, 5-2-1 best bets; Last week: 7-6-1): Jets Bucs Packers Rams Patriots Saints Raiders Dolphins BRONCOS Falcons Cowboys Bears
BOB GLAUBER (60-55-4, 4-4; Last week: 6-7-1): JETS Giants Packers Vikings Patriots Saints Raiders Bills Broncos Falcons Cowboys Chargers
TOM ROCK (57-58-4, 5-2-1; Last week: 6-7-1): Jets Giants Panthers Rams Patriots SAINTS Steelers Dolphins Broncos Falcons Eagles Chargers
KIMBERLEY A. MARTIN (56-59-4, 3-5; Last week: 5-8-1): Jets Giants Packers Vikings Patriots Saints Steelers Bills Broncos FALCONS Cowboys Bears