DOLPHINS (3-3) AT PATRIOTS (6-0), 8:25 p.m.

TV: Ch 2, NFL; Radio: WCBS (880)

Patriots by 8; O/U: 51

Making the wrong reads.


Can't get out of their own way.

No, I'm not talking about the Dolphins' effort during the first four weeks of the season.

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I'm talking about my Thursday night picks. I'm 1-5-1 overall, and I need a pep talk. Someone to inspire me and turn my season around. I'm talking to you, Dan Campbell.

Miami's interim coach has done a remarkable job. The Dolphins left London a 1-3 team that had been outscored 91-48 during a three-game losing streak. The next day, they fired their coach and hoped naming a 39-year-old former tight end could spark a lethargic team. It has. Miami is 2-0 under Campbell with an 82-36 advantage in points. The much-maligned defense has 10 sacks in two games after having just one through the first four.

As great as the Dolphins have looked under Campbell, here's the thing: Those wins were against the Titans and Texans, two teams that have half as many wins combined as the 6-0 Pats. New England is an entirely different beast. It is 18-1 in divisional home games since 2009. Tom Brady, 8-2 in his last 10 meetings vs. Miami, never has lost a Thursday game (8-0).

Despite the Jets outgaining New England and having a four-point fourth-quarter lead last week, the Pats still were in line to cover an 81/2-point spread before a late field goal put the Jets inside the number. That tells you that even when New England doesn't play its best, it is capable of covering a big spread. Brady has thrown for 2,054 yards and 16 touchdowns, with only one interception. Oh, and there's that Rob Gronkowski guy. Who's stopping him?

I like what Campbell has done, but this is uncharted waters for the Dolphins' leader. He's no match for Bill Belichick, his coaching staff and his high-scoring offense.

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The pick: Patriots

TOM ROCK: Patriots