Preakness Stakes horse-by-horse analysis

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Ed McNamara breaks down each horse in the field ahead of Saturday's Preakness Stakes.

MULTIPLIER

Trainer: Brendan Walsh Jockey: Joel Rosario Record: 4-2-1-1
(Credit: AP / Garry Jones)

Trainer: Brendan Walsh
Jockey: Joel Rosario
Record: 4-2-1-1
Last 3: 1-1-2
Post position: 1
Odds: 30-1
Comment: Took three races to get his first win, then jumped up next time out to win the Illinois Derby, usually the least significant of all the Triple Crown preps. Midpack runner has solid late-pace figures, so maybe he can get first run on the deep closers and slip into the triple or superfecta. Can't see him doing any better than that.

CLOUD COMPUTING

Trainer: Chad Brown Jockey: Javier Castellano Record: 3-1-1-1
(Credit: AP / Garry Jones)

Trainer: Chad Brown
Jockey: Javier Castellano
Record: 3-1-1-1
Last 3: 3-2-1
Post position: 2
Odds: 12-1
Comment: Inexperienced colt has early speed but is 0-for-2 past 6 furlongs, so he's much more likely to make an impact early in the race than in the stretch. Lost ground late in his longest race, the 1 1/8-mile Wood Memorial, so it's hard to argue he'll get 1 3/16 miles. Brown is one of the world's best trainers but never has made an impact in a Triple Crown race. Looks like a pace casualty Saturday with upside down the road.

HENCE

Trainer: Steve Asmussen Jockey: Florent Geroux Record: 7-2-1-1
(Credit: Getty Images / Andy Lyons)

Trainer: Steve Asmussen
Jockey: Florent Geroux
Record: 7-2-1-1
Last 3: 11-1-7
Post position: 3
Odds: 20-1
Comment: Another deep closer who was 18th early in the Derby and never got involved. Like his stablemate, Lookin At Lee, and Gunnevera, Senior Investment, Multiplier and Term of Art, he's likely to be far back early with way too much to do in the stretch. Might slip into the superfecta but a win looks highly improbable.

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ALWAYS DREAMING

Trainer: Todd Pletcher Jockey: John Velazquez Record: 6-4-1-1
(Credit: Getty Images / Patrick Smith)

Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: John Velazquez
Record: 6-4-1-1
Last 3: 1-1-1
Post position: 4
Odds: 4-5
Comment: His high cruising speed helped him and Velazquez work out a third consecutive perfect trip in a very impressive Derby win. With six deep closers in the field, pace setup should be very favorable for heavy favorite. Could set pace but more likely will sit off Conquest Mo Money and/or Cloud Computing, with Classic Empire not far back. Big chance to go to co-owner MaryEllen Bonomo's hometown of Elmont with a shot at the Triple Crown.

CLASSIC EMPIRE

Trainer: Mark Casse Jockey: Julien Leparoux Record: 8-5-0-1
(Credit: Getty Images / Rob Carr)

Trainer: Mark Casse
Jockey: Julien Leparoux
Record: 8-5-0-1
Last 3: 4-1-3
Post position: 5
Odds: 3-1
Comment: Ran gamely to be a distant fourth in the Derby after being wiped out by collision leaving the gate. Has enough tactical speed to stalk Always Dreaming from a few lengths behind. On paper, the 2016 2-year-old champion is the only horse who looks as if he can beat the Derby winner. Entered Derby off only two preps, and Casse figures he'll be a lot fitter this time. With decent racing luck, he's the main danger to a Triple Crown bid.

GUNNEVERA

Trainer: Antonio Sano Jockey: Mike Smith Record: 10-4-2-1
(Credit: AP / Leslie Martin)

Trainer: Antonio Sano
Jockey: Mike Smith
Record: 10-4-2-1
Last 3: 7-3-1
Post position: 6
Odds: 15-1
Comment: Deep closer wasn't involved in the Derby, where he was never closer to the lead than 7 or 8 lengths. Needs a very quick pace to set him up and may not get it. Last-to-first types are horrible bets in the Preakness. Little Current (1974) was the last to do it, although Exaggerator came from eighth of 11 to score last year. As tout sheets back in the day used to say: Can't recommend.

TERM OF ART

Trainer: Doug O'Neill Jockey: Jose Ortiz Record: 9-2-1-2

Trainer: Doug O'Neill
Jockey: Jose Ortiz
Record: 9-2-1-2
Last 3: 7-3-4
Post position: 7
Odds: 30-1
Comment: Plodder was a never-close seventh in the Santa Anita Derby and has lost four in a row, never closer than six lengths, and five of his last six. No wins beyond a mile, so he's in way over his head.

SENIOR INVESTMENT

Trainer: Ken McPeek Jockey: Channing Hill Record: 8-3-0-1
(Credit: AP / Garry Jones)

Trainer: Ken McPeek
Jockey: Channing Hill
Record: 8-3-0-1
Last 3: 1-6-1
Post position: 8
Odds: 30-1
Comment: Never been in a Grade I before and his speed figures don't inspire. Like half of the Preakness field, comes from way back, and the other closers finish faster than he does. Was sixth in his only 1 1/8-mile try, the weak Louisiana Derby, and doesn't belong here.

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LOOKIN AT LEE

Trainer: Steve Asmussen Jockey: Corey Lanerie Record: 10-2-3-2
(Credit: AP/Garry Jones)

Trainer: Steve Asmussen
Jockey: Corey Lanerie
Record: 10-2-3-2
Last 3: 2-3-6
Post position: 9
Odds: 10-1
Comment: His perfect-trip second in the Derby validated his solid third in the Arkansas Derby. Won't be 33-1 this time, and shorter price makes him less attractive. Plenty of grit, and as two-time Preakness winner Asmussen said: "Some of the spots he went through are not for everybody." Don't leave him out of exactas, triples and superfectas, but I'll be surprised if he wins.

CONQUEST MO MONEY

Trainer: Miguel Hernandez Jockey: Jorge Cabreno Record: 5-3-2-0
(Credit: Getty Images / Rob Carr)

Trainer: Miguel Hernandez
Jockey: Jorge Cabreno
Record: 5-3-2-0
Last 3: 2-2-1
Post position: 10
Odds: 15-1
Comment: New York-bred son of top young sire Uncle Mo set the pace from post 11 in the Arkansas Derby and lost by only a half-length to highly regarded Classic Empire. Never run a bad one, so don't leave him out of your exotic plays. Likely to be a bigger price than he should be because Cabreno is an obscure name and a Triple Crown rookie. Can't see him winning but should be competitive.

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