Ready to lose some money?
Just enter that office pool for the 68th annual Golden Globe Awards. Bestowed by the enigmatic Hollywood Foreign Press Association, the Globes are among the movie industry's least-predictable awards. Unlike the Oscars, the Globes have separate categories for dramas and comedies/musicals, which may have less to do with taxonomy and more to do with nominating as many stars as possible. The Globes also hand out statues somewhat liberally: They like to crown one director for best picture but another for best director, and seem fond of little-loved films like the Colin Farrell comedy "In Bruges."
The Globes aren't really accurate predictors of the Oscars, but it's still fun to play the game. If "The King's Speech" wins the Globe for best dramatic picture, could it edge out "The Social Network" for the Oscar? Will a best actress Globe for Natalie Portman lead to her first Academy Award? Could anything stop Christian Bale from winning a supporting actor Oscar for "The Fighter"?
NOMINEES "Black Swan," "The Fighter," "Inception," "The King's Speech," "The Social Network"
WHO WILL WIN Oddsmakers are heavily favoring "The Social Network," but here's a contrarian view: The crowd-pleasing period piece "The King's Speech" will take the award.
Comedy or musical
NOMINEES "Alice in Wonderland," "Burlesque," "The Kids Are All Right," "Red," "The Tourist"
WHO SHOULD WIN "The Kids Are All Right," a nuanced dramedy that's head and shoulders above the competition.
WHO WILL WIN "The Kids Are All Right." When there's a clear winner in this jumbled category, it often (though not always!) gets its due.
WHO SHOULD WIN Nolan.
WHO WILL WIN This statue doesn't always go to the director of the best dramatic picture. No matter which movie wins the top award, Fincher seems the obvious choice.
Actor - drama
WHO WILL WIN Firth, for his sensitive portrayal of a stuttering British king. The dark horse could be James Franco by a nose (or an arm).
Actress - drama
WHO SHOULD WIN Jennifer Lawrence. She's so convincing as a hard-bitten Ozarks girl that you'd swear the casting scout found her in the woods.
WHO WILL WIN Let's see, who is this minute's highest-profile star? Probably Portman, slated to appear in a slew of movies this year.
Actor - comedy or musical
WHO SHOULD WIN Giamatti, terrific as a philandering husband in this freewheeling but heartbreaking comedy-drama.
WHO WILL WIN This category is often won by big, broad, buzzed-about performances - think Robert Downey Jr. in "Sherlock Holmes" or Joaquin Phoenix in "Walk the Line." That makes Depp, as the Mad Hatter in "Alice," the front-runner.
Actress - comedy or musical
WHO SHOULD WIN Bening, as a tough but vulnerable lesbian mother. Her only real competition is her terrific co-star, Moore.
WHO WILL WIN Bening.
WHO SHOULD WIN Bale, who as a recovering crack addict gives "The Fighter" its humor and heart.
WHO WILL WIN Bale, also a lock for the supporting actor Oscar.
WHO WILL WIN Bonham Carter.
WHO WILL WIN "Toy Story 3."