Maybe they should just rename tonight's Grammy nominations special “The Eminem Show.”
Expect Em to land at least eight nominations, including spots in the top three categories – album of the year, song of the year and record of the year. However, he may face competition in all those categories from his stadium-filling pal Jay-Z, who could land at least seven nominations tonight, if Recording Academy members can remember last year.
Another big nominee tonight should be Lady Antebellum, who could land at least six nominations. But will they represent country in the album of the year category? Probably not – that slot will likely go to the great Miranda Lambert's “Revolution,” one of five nominations she should get. Lady Gaga should get five nods as well, including one for album of the year for “The Fame Monster.”
ALBUM OF THE YEAR
It's a good sign that this category will be pretty tough to predict. Eminem's “Recovery” and Jay-Z's “Blueprint 3” seem likely contenders, along with Lambert's “Revolution” and Gaga's “The Fame Monster” to get nominations, but what about that other spot?
My money would be on Carole King and James Taylor's “Live at the Troubadour,” a chance for the Academy to honor two longtime favorites for a top-selling album and tour. However, you can never underestimate how much they love Robert Plant and his “Band of Joy” was surprisingly as compelling as his album of the year winner “Raising Sand” with Alison Krauss. And Jerry Lee Lewis' “Mean Old Man” duets album is the kind of generation-spanning collaboration album that the Academy loves.
There's also a buzz building around Sade's wonderful “Soldier of Love” album, her first in 10 years and it's hard to ignore Arcade Fire's “The Suburbs,” which found the indie-rockers debuting at No. 1. The Roots had a stellar year as well and voters may reward them with a nomination for their collaboration with John Legend on “Wake Up.”
Who will get it? Guess we have to wait til 10 p.m. to find out. We'll be live-blogging the show here. Feel free to come by and heckle all the guesses we got wrong!
ALBUM OF THE YEAR
Jay-Z, “The Blueprint 3”
Carole King and James Taylor, “Live at the Troubadour”
Lady Gaga, “The Fame Monster”
Miranda Lambert, “Revolution”