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'Dancing with the Stars:' Last round for Chaz Bono?

Chaz Bono, right, and his dance partner Lacey

Chaz Bono, right, and his dance partner Lacey Schwimmer joke around while rehearsing for the upcoming season of "Dancing of the Stars" in Los Angeles. (Sept. 7, 2011) Photo Credit: AP

Chaz Bono, who entered the 11th season of "Dancing with the Stars" as certainly the most newsworthy contestant of the group for reasons that don't really need to be restated here, may be eliminated after Monday night's performance. We'll get the final results in a few hours, but his problems are mathematical at this point: The remaining field had a surprisingly strong night, but Bono was on par with his previous two weeks. Not that it usually spells elimination -- although often it does -- but the fact that his score of 18 was three full points behind the second lowest score -- Nancy Grace -- does.

Could Grace go tonight? Sure, but I think statistically the odds are much more on the side of a Bono elimination. Three points is a big deficit to make up, and while he will get a sympathy vote for the injuries, and a political vote for his life decision -- the so-called Bristol Palin X-factor comprising voters who call in their votes based on politics as opposed to dance quality -- I can't see how that would be big enough to cover that three-point spread.

Could it? Absolutely, and someone like Grace or Carson Kressley would head for the door. That would be a huge indication that the BP- X Factor is in play. And Bono also managed to stay in the hunt last week despite being four points below Elisabetta Canalis. Nevertheless, so did a bunch of other dancers who also scored in the teens. 

Point here is, Bono is probably gone. He looks like he wouldn't mind either.

Ricki Lake, meanwhile, remains the board leader and likely winner.

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