Did I tell you, dear reader: I'm out of the "DWTS" prediction business (until next week anyway or until the bottom of this post).
It's a fool's game -- certain to founder on the rocks of capricious voters and false assumptions and erroneous math. I had Chaz Bono pretty much gone last week -- a mathematical near-certainty, I declared! The numbers don't lie. Or do they?
In any event, last night was so largely even among the weaker dancers -- and I suspect that is exactly as ABC would prefer it -- that any sort of assumptions based on that will instantly be submerged in the swamp of "DWTS" prognosticating.
Yes, this is another way of saying Carson Kressley is a goner.
But wait: What about Chaz? He did OK last night -- Rocky and all -- and Cher in the audience added a hundred thousand or so votes. So he stays. Rob Kardashian? One of this season's surprises -- good surprises? Probably OK. Chynna Phillips, who's slid the past couple weeks? Maybe in the bottom two as well.
So, here's where we stand: Ricki Lake still favored to win, if judges' scores are the only scores that count, which they don't. J.R. Martinez, above, is probably getting a lot more viewer votes, which means if these two cruise into the final weeks still neck-in-neck, he's favored to win.
Above, "DWTS" contestant J.R. Martinez