Casey James is headed home tonight while Lee DeWyze and Crystal Bowersox are going to the "American Idol" finals, according to everyone on our Newsday panel -- except Verne Gay.

Our TV critic thinks voters will abandon Crystal....

It's been a loooong season of predicting, with a lot of unexpected results -- but if Casey somehow makes it into the finals, it'll be one of the top three biggest 'Idol' upsets of all time (right behind Adam Lambert losing to Kris Allen, and Chris Daughtry getting cut before the final three).

In our Newsday contest for no prize, Jonathan McCarthy maintains his hold on first place, with Peggy Lundquist leading two other strong contenders via the tiebreaker for second.

Here are all our picks, below. (Scoring system for tonight: You get two points for correctly picking who's going home)

Jonathan McCarthy (5-4, 24 points)
-Casey James (going home)

Peggy Lundquist (6-3, 22 points)
-Casey James (going home)

Adam Abramson (5-4, 22 points)
-Casey James (going home)

Jamshid Mousavinezhad (5-4, 22 points)
-Casey James (going home)

Daniel Bubbeo (4-5, 17 points)
-Casey James (going home)

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Glenn Gamboa (4-5, 17 points)
-Casey James (going home)

Verne Gay (3-5, 16 points)
-Crystal Bowersox (going home)

Eileen Fredes (3-5, 15 points)
-Casey James (going home)

Ronnie Gill (1-8, 15 points)
-Casey James (going home) 

Anne Bratskeir (3-3, 10 points)
-Casey James (going home)

PHOTOS: "American Idol" final round | "Idol Cares" celebs and performers | "Idol" top 12 party with "Glee" stars

REWIND: See the winners and top finalists from each season of "American Idol"

MORE: Read all of our other "American Idol" posts

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