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New polls suggest Clinton gains over Trump

Two major new national polls show Hillary Clinton

Two major new national polls show Hillary Clinton with an advantage that seems to be growing, but they disagree on how much. Credit: Getty Images composite

Clinton grows a lead

Is Donald Trump slipping further behind or in a free fall? Two major new national polls show Hillary Clinton with an advantage that seems to be growing, but they disagree on how much.

The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll has Clinton leading, 46% to 41% — up slightly from a 46%-43% advantage in May — among registered voters. Clinton’s lead fell to 1 point — 39%-38%, when the matchup included Libertarian Gary Johnson (10%) and Green Party candidate Jill Stein (6%.)

An ABC News/Washington Post poll found a much bigger erosion of Trump support. Clinton led 51% to 39%. A month ago, Trump led in the survey by 46% to 44%.

Clinton’s lead held at double digits when the minor-party candidates were factored in: Clinton 47%, Trump 37%, Johnson 7%, Green 3%.

Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort tweeted: “I prefer NBC/WSJ poll.” Trump tweeted that the ABC poll was “very dishonest.”

Battleground snapshots

A CBS News Battleground Tracker poll finds Clinton leading narrowly in four swing states — Florida, Colorado, Wisconsin and North Carolina.

But Democrats are worried Trump could compete in Rust Belt states that usually lean Democratic, particularly Michigan and Pennsylvania, The Washington Post reports.

Clinton hits Trump on Brexit

Some of Trump’s comments from Scotland on the U.K. vote to leave the European Union — that a weaker pound could help business at his golf resorts — are the target of a new Clinton ad.

“Every president is tested by world events, but Donald Trump thinks about how he can profit from them,” a narrator says.

After slamming President Barack Obama for  having pushed for "Remain" in the Brexit runup, Trump warned Scotland against a second independence referendum, according to a Times of London interview.

He said refugees could make Europe unrecognizable in 10 years. "The EU is going to break up," he predicted.

The take-away: Boris and Donald

There are surface resemblances between Trump and Boris Johnson, the former London mayor and possible future British prime minister, who pushed the Brexit cause.

But deeper down, Johnson has a substantial resume as an officeholder and political thinker who, while advocating change in immigration policy, said he wanted to “take the wind out of the sails” of the extremists. Newsday’s Dan Janison examines the differences between the two.

Friends — of Hillary

There’s no sign Clinton’s “stronger together” slogan has rubbed off on Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo and Mayor Bill de Blasio. But the feuding New York Democrats kept smiling when they walked with the candidate during her surprise appearance at the NYC Pride March.

They’ll get to practice again when they attend the Democratic national convention next month in Philadelphia, aka the City of Brotherly Love. Newsday’s Emily Ngo covered the Manhattan march.

Sanders’ challenge to Clinton

Bernie Sanders says it is ultimately up to Clinton — not him — to rally his supporters to her candidacy by embracing the progressive policies that the Vermont senator championed.

“We’re trying to say to Secretary Clinton and to the Clinton campaign: Make it clear which side you are on,” Sanders said on CNN’s “State of the Union.”

“If she does the right thing, I’m absolutely confident that the vast majority of my supporters will vote for her,” he said.

What else is happening

  • Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia, a top contender to be Clinton’s running mate, admitted on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that he’s not bursting with charisma. “I am boring, but boring is the fastest-growing demographic in this country,” he said.
  • Trump has recently accepted “a relationship with Christ,” according to evangelical leader James Dobson. “I believe he really made a commitment, but he’s a baby Christian,” Dobson said.
  • Pushing back at perceptions that Trump is behind in campaign organizing, Manafort said, “The good thing is, we have a candidate who doesn’t need to figure out what’s going on in order to say what he wants to do.”
  • Illinois Republican Sen. Mark Kirk is running an anti-Trump re-election ad that says he “bucked his party to say Donald Trump is not fit to be commander in chief.”
  • Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) wouldn’t answer directly when asked on ABC’s “This Week” whether Trump is qualified to be president. He said he would “leave that to the American people to decide.”
  • Think “Hamilton” is pricey? Tickets to a special matinee performance for a Clinton joint fundraiser with the Democratic National Committee next month start at $2,700 and top out at $100,000.
  • Who shows up to speak? That's the big question for the GOP's Cleveland convention as a number of alienated Republicans bail out...
  • Another day, another false claim from Trump is debunked even as he tries to paint Clinton as the bigger liar....
  • Scion Eric Trump claims without evidence that money is "flying in" to his dad's campaign including $6 million at a small New York event last week....
  • Seven were stabbed in Sacramento as violence broke out at a right-wing group's rally. Some who showed up clashed with counter-protesters....

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