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Mets are on pace to win 87 games

Mets third baseman David Wright fields a ground

Mets third baseman David Wright fields a ground ball hit by the Reds' Orlando Cabrera during the third inning in Cincinnati. (May 5, 2010) Photo Credit: AP

Losing two games in three days on walk-off home runs in extra innings never feels good, to state the obvious.

But let's look past that for a second. Even after a 2-4 road trip, the Mets come home with a 15-13 record, which puts them on pace to win 87 games. Yes, 87 wins. Surely you would have signed up for that before the season, and I bet you'd sign up for that right now, too.

So let's take the optimistic glass-half-full view for the moment, because none of us expected the Mets to be sitting where they are 28 games. Sure they've only completed 17 percent of their 162-game regular season, but the expectations coming in were such that this start has to be considered a success.

And, really, it's not a fluke, at least as far as the numbers are concerned. I've become a fan in recent years of the Pythagorean W-L, which looks at a team's runs scored versus runs allowed and determines what their record should be based on those numbers. The Mets, the numbers say, should be 16-12 right now. Pretty, pretty good, as Larry David might say.

Here's Anthony Rieber's recap of the Mets' 5-4 loss yesterday on the walkoff homer by Orlando Cabrera off Pedro Feliciano. A good portion of the game story also deals with Jason Bay's slump, which I promise we'll talk about more on the blog today. Anthony also wrote about how Hisanori Takahashi's three scoreless innings yesterday might result in a larger role for the crafty lefthander.

New York Sports