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Projections: The Met pitching staff

HS_Staff.jpg picture by InternSteve

 

Let’s take a look at the full season projections for the Mets’ rotation.  We will leave one spot open based on our assumption that the Mets will add a starter before the deadline: 

JOHAN SANTANA:

234 innings, 13-9, 2.98 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 153 K, 75 BB

With a strong finish to his first half, Santana reclaimed the Mets ace title from a struggling Mike Pelfrey.  Santana followed his 1-3, 4.68 ERA performance during the month of June by going   2-0 with a 0.39 ERA in three starts in July.  His strikeouts are down and his walks are up but he enters the second half on a 16 inning shutout streak after throwing a complete-game shutout against the first-place Reds and seven scoreless innings against the first-place Braves.  He tends to pitch his best after the break.

MIKE PELFREY:

208 innings, 18-7, 3.58 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 127 K, 77 BB

With a 10-2 start, Pelfrey finally delivered on the promise the Mets saw in him when they made him the ninth pick in the 2005 draft.  He has since struggled mightily in his final three starts before the break as his ERA jumped from 2.71 to 3.58 and he failed to get out of the fifth inning in each outing.  The All-Star break comes at the perfect time for the All-Star snub.

OLIVER PEREZ & JOHN MAINE

Let's just move on shall we…..

JONATHON NIESE

164 innings, 11-6, 3.61 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 134 K, 52 BB

Since missing nearly three weeks with a hamstring injury, Niese has gone 5-1 and been a pleasant surprise for the Mets.  At 23-years-old, he is developing into a reliable number three starter.

R.A. DICKEY

120 innings, 11-4, 2.77 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 88 K, 35 BB

The Mets have already received more than they could have ever asked for from the 35-year-old knuckleballer. Dickey won his first six decisions after being called up in mid-May and has been an unlikely source of stability in a rotation that was in dire need of it.  Dickey had bounced around from starter to reliever in his career and never won more than nine games in a season.  There’s no telling how much longer the honeymoon will last but Dickey is a mainstay in the rotation for now. 

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