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Subway Series: 3 keys, 3 predictions

Three keys to the first round of the Subway Series

1. The Mets’ aggressiveness vs. the Yankees’ defense

The Mets, especially with Ike Davis and David Wright sidelined, thrive on forcing the defense to make plays, and the Yankees’ fielders have struggled to make plays.

2. Navigating the Mets’ newbies

The Yankees need to minimize the Mets’ offensive damage by retiring the likes of Justin Turner, Daniel Murphy and Jason Pridie. Those guys don’t have much experience against the Yankees’ pitchers, which could work to the Yankees’ advantage.

3. The shortstops

They both bat leadoff, and both have been starting players longer than anyone else on their respective team. But Jose Reyes has largely propelled his club, and Derek Jeter has been more of a neutral presence, at best. Who will shine more in the Subway Series spotlight?

PREDICTIONS

Friday: Mets 5, Yankees 1. R.A. Dickey confounds the Yankees with his revived knuckler. Reyes takes Freddy Garcia deep.

Saturday: Yankees 8, Mets 2. A.J. Burnett dominates the Mets, and Nick Swisher wakes up with a three-run homer off Chris Capuano.

Sunday: Yankees 4, Mets 2, 10 innings: Alex Rodriguez slugs a walkoff, two-run homer against Francisco Rodriguez.
 

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