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Projections: The Yankee pitching staff

HS_Staff.jpg picture by InternSteve

 AP Photo

Lets take a look at the full season projections for the Yankee rotation, which features three pitchers on pace for 20 wins:

CC SABATHIA:

241 innings, 22-6, 3.09 ERA, 191 K, 75 BB:

Sabathia won his last eight starts - he has pitched at least seven innings in each – and is on pace for his first career 20-win season.  He has reached 19 wins twice, including last season, but never reached that magic number of 20.  His 3.09 ERA would be the second lowest of his career behind his 2.70 in 2008 with Cleveland and Milwaukee.

A.J. BURNETT:

199 innings, 13-13, 4.75 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 149 K, 85 BB

After a 4-0 start, Burnett had an inconsistent June and dreadful July, in which he went 0-5 with an 11.35 ERA.  It’s hard to believe that Burnett would be so dependent on pitching coach Dave Eiland but the numbers don’t lie.  Eiland missed a bulk of July for personal reasons and Burnett imploded during his absence.  In his final two starts before the break, Burnett went 1-0 with a 1.32 era in his final two starts before the break.  Expect Burnett's numbers to be better than his projections.    

ANDY PETTITTE:

 208 innings, 20-4, 2.70 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 160 K, 64 BB

At the age of 38, Pettitte is on pace for one of the best seasons of his career.  The two-time 20 game winner is on his way to a third and he could finish with a sub-three ERA for the third time also.  There is plenty of baseball still to be played but Pettitte's retirement plans may once again have to be put on hold.

PHIL HUGHES:

186 innings, 20-4, 3.65 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 168 K, 53 BB

Although Hughes is also on pace for 20 wins, the Hughes Rules may put an end to that.  Hughes’ innings limit could short his brilliant first full season as a starting pitcher.  Had the Yankees acquired Cliff Lee, Hughes could have been sent to the bullpen, a possibility that still exists whether the Yankees bring in another starter or not.  Have the Yankees learned nothing with Joba?  Let the kid pitch.

JAVIER VAZQUEZ:

175 innings, 13-13, 4.45 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 147 K, 70 BB

Vazquez threw quality starts in seven of his last eight outings.  He no longer resembles the player who “couldn’t handle New York” that went 1-4 with an 8.10 ERA to open the season.  That being said, he hasn’t been the All-Star caliber innings-eater the Yankees thought they were getting.  A lot of teams, however, would take him as a fifth starter that wins 13 games.  It’s a nice problem to have.

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