What's at Stake:
If the Giants win, they’ll be 9-6 and cannot be eliminated from the playoff race until the final week of the season. If the Cowboys or the Packers lose, the Giants would also slip into a wild card spot with a week to play. In that case they would need only win at Minnesota to clinch a berth and not worry about scoreboard watching.
If the Giants lose, and both the Packers and the Cowboys win, the Giants will be eliminated from the playoffs. It wouldn’t be a quick blow, either, since the Cowboys play tonight in Washington, so they’d have to wait for their fate. A loss by either of the teams would mean the Giants need a win next week and would still need help to get in.
3 players the Giants have to stop:
DE Julius Peppers had just one sack on Sunday against the Vikings, but he dominated the game with his pushes into the backfield and disruption of the offense. He has 9.5 sacks this season and has 5 forced fumbles, but he’s shown he can take over a game without making a splash on the stat sheet.
RB Jonathan Stewart normally takes a back seat to DeAngelo Williams, but with Williams doubtful (ankle), Stewart should get most of the work. He is bothered by an Achilles, but he’s still a dangerous back. Last week, when Williams went down, he finished with 109 rushing yards and TD. He was the first 100-plus yard rusher against the Vikings in over two years
WR Steve Smith is closing in on another 1,000-yard receiving season and has six TD receptions, but with the move to strong-armed Matt Moore at quarterback he’s become more of a downfield threat in recent weeks catching passes of 66, 41 and 45 yards since the switch from Jake Delhomme.
3 Giants who have to play well:
Eli Manning has been playing some of the best regular-season football of his career in the last few weeks, and the Giants will need him to keep it going if they hope for a playoff run. Back-to-back games with three TD passes and no interceptions hadn’t happened for a Giants passer since 1984. Can Manning make it three in a row?
Terrell Thomas, coming off his best game as a pro against the Redskins, will have to take Steve Smith out of the game today. The only real mainstay in the Giants’ secondary this season, he might draw inspiration from the fact that Smith didn’t even know his name when asked about the matchup.
David Diehl, the Giants’ left tackle, will be lined up across from Peppers for most of the game and will try to avoid the highlight reel of shame that Vikings tackle Bryant McKinnie had to live with after his Sunday night beatdown by the veteran pass rusher. Rookie right tackle Will Beatty might get a taste of Peppers on third downs, too.
The wild card:
Matt Moore will make just his seventh career start, filling in for injured/ineffective Jake Delhomme. If the Giants can rattle the inexperienced signal-caller by disguising blitzes and coverages, they’ll have a much better chance of pressuring him into making mistakes. The sacks started to show up last week against the Redskins, and the Giants’ pass rushers would like them to stay there.
Why the Giants win:
Playing a team without playoff hopes for the second straight week, the Giants’ sense of urgency and intensity once again overwhelms. They’ll be able to bully Moore against a pair of backup tackles on the offensive line and stop a running game that is without Williams and relying on a banged-up Stewart. Without the run, the play-action passes to Smith won’t work.
Why the Giants lose:
Peppers spends most of the game draped on Manning’s back like a royal robe and the Giants are unable to run or throw the ball without the Panthers disturbing their rhythm. The Giants’ secondary that played so disciplined on Monday night lets Smith and Mushin Muhammad each slip behind the safties for long touchdown passes while the defensive front allows the Panthers to run the ball and control the clock.