Line: Chiefs by 3; O/U: 411/2

TV: Ch. 2, NFL, 8:30 p.m.

Radio: WFAN (660, 101.9)

You know those commercials with the "two" Peyton Mannings? Well, after Week 1, there might be some truth to that. There's "immortal" Peyton, the all-time great who threw seven touchdown passes in the 2013 season opener against the Ravens. Then there's the "mortal" Peyton, the 39-year-old who looked his age in a Week 1 lucky-they-escaped win over Baltimore. Manning was 24-for-40 for 175 yards, no touchdowns and one interception, a pick-6. I'm no doctor, but he just doesn't look right on his throws. Manning is 11-1 all-time straight up against the Chiefs, including 6-0 with Denver, but which Peyton will show up?

This is only the third time in the last 49 games that the Broncos are not favored, so that tells you something. The Chiefs were one of the most impressive teams in Week 1, dominating Houston on the road. Alex Smith threw for 243 yards, three TDs and no INTs. Smith is 39-16-1 straight up in his last 56 starts. Arrowhead Stadium, the loudest building in the NFL, will be rocking even more for a nationally televised game.

The Broncos and Chiefs both have strong defenses, so first to 20 points should win this one. Look for Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce, who caught two TDs in Week 1, to make it back-to-back Thursday nights that a tight end wearing No. 87 has a big game. I never thought I'd say this but Alex Smith outplays "mortal" Peyton Manning.

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The pick: Chiefs


TOM ROCK Broncos