JETS (2-8) vs. BILLS (5-5), Monday night, 7 p.m. at Detroit
Off; O/U: Off
TV: Ch. 2. Radio: ESPN (98.7)
In case you've been living under a rock, there was an estimated 220,000 tons -- again -- tons, of snow in Ralph Wilson Stadium as of Wednesday thanks to approximately seven feet of snow being dumped in the Buffalo area this week. Earlier in the week, the Bills were offering $10 an hour and a ticket to the game if you helped shovel out that mess. Sign me up . . . not! The Bills haven't practiced for two straight days, and the game is being moved to Detroit's domed Ford Field on Monday night. I think this all lines up pretty well off a bye week for the Jets, who are 2-7-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games overall.
The pick: Jets
COWBOYS (7-3) at GIANTS (3-7), 8:30 p.m.
Cowboys by 31/2; O/U: 471/2
TV: Ch. 4. Radio: WFAN (660, 101.9)
A lot of the talk this week wasn't about the first-place Cowboys, or the Giants. Instead, it was about the future of Giants coach Tom Coughlin. That's what happens when you're 3-7, and in danger of missing the playoffs for the fifth time in six seasons. Let's be honest, ownership didn't do Coughlin many favors when it brought in new offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo and the West Coast offense. Wait, did Eli Manning just throw another interception? Manning blew up against the 49ers with five INTs last week. Dallas has three straight covers vs. Big Blue, and is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games this season. I won't be shocked if the G-Men (0-5 ATS last 5 games overall) rise up one last time for their revered coach. However, I can't back a gut pick with what I've seen from the Giants this season.
The pick: Cowboys
1 P.M. GAMES
LIONS (7-3) at PATRIOTS (8-2)
Patriots by 7; O/U: 48
Sunday will be 14 years to the day that Tom Brady made his NFL debut. Brady was 1 of 3 passing for 6 yards on Nov. 23, 2000 also against the Lions. How time flies. Remember about two months ago when people were calling for Brady & the Patriots to be blown up after a 27-point loss in KC? The Pats have an AFC-best plus-11 turnover margin. Lions are 11-23-1 in last 35 November games.
The pick: Patriots
BENGALS (6-3-1) at TEXANS (5-5).
Texans by 11/2; O/U: 431/2
Houston's Ryan Mallett was impressive (211 yards, 2 TDs) in his first NFL start and win vs. the Browns. The Texans' 'D' leads the league with 23 takeaways. I had the Bengals last week to win in New Orleans. But I don't have the confidence in QB Andy Dalton to call for back-to-back road covers.
The pick: Texans
PACKERS (7-3) at VIKINGS (4-6)
Packers by 91/2; O/U: 481/2
There's no doubt in my mind who the best player in the NFL is right now: Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers. The Packers, who have an NFL-best plus-14 turnover margin, have covered six of their last seven games. I know the Vikings are 6-2 ATS at home and 8-2 ATS in last 10 games off a loss. But I can't fade the Packers here.
The pick: Packers
TITANS (2-8) at EAGLES (7-3)
Eagles by 11; O/U: 481/2
The Titans gave the Steelers all they could handle last Monday before blowing an 11-point, second-half lead. I worry Philly (league-worst 25 turnovers) might look ahead to Thursday's Turkey Day tilt with Dallas. Still, the Iggles -- 7-2-1 ATS in last 10 home games -- should get running game going with "Shady" McCoy vs. Titans' 31st- ranked rushing 'D'. Tread softly.
The pick: Eagles
BROWNS (6-4) at FALCONS (4-6)
Falcons by 3; O/U: 47
Quick, guess which of the above teams is in first place (Falcons) and which one is in last place (Browns)? Hard to believe, right? The Falcons are 3-7 ATS in last 10 off a win. Works for me.
The pick: Browns
BUCS (2-8) at BEARS (4-6)
Bears by 6; O/U: 461/2
Bears earned a much-needed victory over Vikings last week, which was just Chicago's fifth cover in its last 22 home games (5-16-1 ATS). Bucs are 4-6 ATS, but boast a 4-1 mark ATS on the road. Finally, five of Tampa'' eight losses are by six or fewer points. Worth a shot.
The pick: Bucs
JAGUARS (1-9) at COLTS (6-4)
Colts by 14; O/U: 501/2
The Colts are 7-3 ATS. The Jags are 3-8-1 ATS the past two seasons as 'dogs of eight points or more. QB Andrew Luck is 16-6 ATS at home the last two seasons. Big number be darned.
The pick: Colts
4 P.M. & LATER
CARDINALS (9-1) at SEAHAWKS (6-4), 4:05 p.m.
Seahawks by 61/2; O/U: 42
TV: Ch. 5.
I wondered last week if the Cards (NFL-best 8-2 ATS) could continue their winning (and covering) ways. They did, much to my chagrin. This line seems too good to be true, even with backup QB Drew Stanton at the helm for Arizona. I'll bite, even though Seattle is 34-16-1 ATS in last 51 home games. Consider yourself warned.
The pick: Cardinals
RAMS (4-6) at CHARGERS (6-4), 4:05 p.m.
Chargers by 41/2; O/U: 431/2
St. Louis pulled the upset of Week 11 over Denver and limited the Broncos to just seven points. Wow! Still, the Rams are 4-9 ATS on the road the last two seasons. I keep thinking about the Bolts not covering against the winless Raiders last week. How can I back them here against a spirited St. Louis squad?
The pick: Rams
DOLPHINS (6-4) at BRONCOS (7-3), 4:25 p.m.
Broncos by 7; O/U: 48
TV: Ch. 2.
The Dolphins 'D' is similar to the Rams, who stifled Peyton Manning & Co. Fins have covered four of last five games overall. However, here are Manning's statistics the game after a loss the last two seasons: 5-0 record, 39.8 points per game, and he has thrown four or more TD passes in all five games. Broncos are 8-0 ATS in their last eight off a loss.
The pick: Broncos
REDSKINS (3-7) at 49ERS (6-4), 4:25 p.m.
49ers by 9; O/U: 44
I'm calling this one the Dysfunctional Bowl. On one side you have Washington with a QB (RG3) who throws his teammates under the bus after a loss, and a coach (Jay Gruden) who rips his QB in public the next day, and later apologizes. Geez! On the other side you have a LB (Ahmad Brooks) who yells at an assistant coach because of lack of playing time and, ultimately, was benched for the second half in win vs. Giants. However, it's tough to back Washington on a 1-6 skid ATS.
The pick: 49ers
RAVENS (6-4) at SAINTS (4-6), 8:30 p.m.
Saints by 31/2; O/U: 50
TV: ESPN. Radio: WFAN (660, 101.9)
Saints, who are 25-9 ATS in last 34 at the Superdome, have dropped two straight at home. Could Ravens (9-2-2 ATS last 13 games in November) make it three? I;ll take the points in what should be a close one. Tough call.
The pick: Ravens