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NFL Gridiron Guide Week 3: Jets improve to 3-0 on season, against the spread; Falcons are best bet

Ryan Fitzpatrick #14 of the New York Jets

Ryan Fitzpatrick #14 of the New York Jets leaves the field after the game against the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sept. 21, 2015 in Indianapolis. Credit: Getty Images / Joe Robbins

EAGLES (0-2) AT JETS (2-0), 1 P.M.

TV: Ch. 5; Radio: ESPN (98.7) WNYM (970)

Jets by 2; O/U: 46

L-E-T-S, Let's Let's Let's play a game. I'm going to list the average offensive stats through two games for Team A and Team B, and then guess which is the Jets and which is the Eagles.

Team A: 25.5 points per game/338.5 yards/ 127.5 rushing yards/ 30:04 time of possession. Team B: 17/312.5/35/22:01.

Before the season, even Jets fans would have guessed Team A was Chip Kelly's high-flying Eagles. Two weeks into the season, we all know Team A is the Jets, whose offense has been surprisingly solid and whose defense is once again one of the league's most dominant.

Stat of the year so far: The Jets have 10 takeaways after having 13 all of last season. Wow! One more: The Jets have converted those turnovers into 31 points. Last year? 20 for the entire season. After picking apart Andrew Luck, the Jets' defense will frustrate Sam Bradford, who has thrown four interceptions while looking totally out of sync. Fellow newcomer DeMarco Murray has 11 yards on 21 carries. Philly is a mess, and a total stay-away team until they show they can do anything right. Don't be surprised to see Mark Sanchez replace Bradford. 3-0 start for J-E-T-S.

The pick: Jets




Falcons by 1; O/U: 45

If you would've asked Jerry Jones if he would prefer being A) 2-0 and not having Tony Romo and Dez Bryant for about two months or B) 0-2 and having his stars the entire season, I think he'd pick B. It's never a good situation when the best quarterback on your team is your coach. Jason Garrett turns to Brandon Weeden, a career 5-16 starter. The Falcons make it 3-0 vs. NFC East to start season.

The pick: Falcons



Vikings by 21/2; O/U: 441/2

I like San Diego to bounce back in what should be down-to-wire game.

The pick: Chargers

BUCS (1-1) AT TEXANS (0-2)

Texans by 61/2; O/U: 401/2

You've got to think the Texans will do Watt-ever it takes to avoid an 0-3 start, but their QB situation is too shaky to lay this many points.

The pick: Bucs



Patriots by 13 1/2; O/U: 47 1/2

This spread can be three TDs, and I'd still take the Pats. They scored 40 on Rex Ryan's defense and now might drop 50 on the Jags, who just won in September for the first time since 2012. The "We're Going to Take DeflateGate out on the rest of the NFL" Tour continues.

The pick: Patriots



Ravens by 2 1/2; O/U: 44 1/2

Ravens are 0-2 for first time since John Harbaugh took over in 2008. After lengthy stay out west, they find a way to win home opener.

The pick: Ravens

SAINTS (0-2)


Panthers by 3; O/U: 45

Carolina hopes its Luke (All-Pro linebacker Kuechly) will play while New Orleans would prefer its Luke (backup QB McCown) is on the sideline watching Drew Brees. That's unlikely. So is a Saints win.

The pick: Panthers

STEELERS (1-1) AT RAMS (1-1)

Rams by 1; O/U: 47 1/2

After two weeks, kickers have missed nine of the longer extra points. There were eight misses all of last season. The Steelers' Josh Scobee missed last week -- after Pittsburgh had twice gone for two and converted. Rams will play better at home, but Pittsburgh's offense -- which gets Le'Veon Bell back -- is just "2" much.

The pick: Steelers

COLTS (0-2) AT TITANS (1-1)

Colts by 3; O/U: 45

Indy started last season 0-2, too, then made the AFC title game. Andrew Luck is 6-0 straight-up vs. Titans and Indy is in deep trouble if it can't win this game.

The pick: Colts


Browns by 3 1/2; O/U: 42 1/2

If there's one thing we learned from Week 2, it's that you never underestimate a home underdog. Both of these teams proved that. Raiders have lost 15 straight in Eastern time zone starts.

The pick: Browns


TV: Ch. 2

Dolphins by 3; O/U: 43

Miami has allowed 284 rushing yards, and Buffalo has gained 307. Rex Ryan grounds it and pounds it vs. a defense that was Suh-pposed to be improved but isn't.

The pick: Bills

49ERS (1-1)


Radio: WFAN (660, 101.9)

Cardinals by 6 1/2; O/U: 44

Carson Palmer and Bruce Arians are a winning combo at home, but I'll take a shot that San Fran covers. The pick: 49ers

BEARS (0-2)


Seahawks by 141/2; O/U: 431/2

Seattle is 0-2 for the first time under Russell Wilson. The schedule makers didn't do Seattle any favors by having them open on the road at St. Louis and Green Bay. Now, they get to throw a homecoming party, and Kam Chancellor will be part of it after ending his holdout. It's just more bad news for the Bears, who will start Jimmy Clausen. Fourteen-plus points is a lot, but it won't feel that way when the Seahawks are up 27-3 at the half. Jimmy Graham finds end zone in his Seahawks home debut.

The pick: Seahawks


AT LIONS (0-2), 8:30 p.m.

TV: Ch. 4

Radio: WFAN (660, 101.9)

Broncos by 3; O/U: 44 1/2

(Sing the following sentence to the tune of that Peyton Manning Nationwide jingle): "Pey-ton Mann-ing is still good." I'm sorry I wasn't on his side last week. Once Gary Kubiak realized that he should let Manning do what he wants -- operate in the no-huddle and play from the shotgun -- the Broncos started to fire on all cylinders. Matthew Stafford is hurting, and the Broncos' solid defense will pounce.

The pick: Broncos

CHIEFS (1-1)

AT PACKERS (2-0), 8:30 p.m.

Packers by 6 1/2 O/U: 49

TV: ESPN; Radio: WCBS (880), WFAN (joined in progress)

What's the more eye-popping stat? Aaron Rodgers not throwing an INT in his last 545 attempts at home or the Chiefs not having a WR catch a TD pass since Week 14 of the 2013 season! If the Packers go up big in this one, the officials should let Rodgers lead the Chiefs offense for one drive and see if he can snap their streak. Chiefs have had 10-plus days to stew over last Thursday night's meltdown and keep it close enough for a cover.

The pick: Chiefs

Staff picks (best bets in bold)


15-16-1, 2-0 best bets

Last week: 8-8

Jets Falcons Chargers Bucs

Patriots Ravens

Panthers Steelers

Colts Browns Bills 49ers

Seahawks Broncos Chiefs

BOB GLAUBER 16-15-1, 1-1

Last week: 8-8

Jets Cowboys Vikings Texans

Patriots Ravens Panthers Steelers

Colts Browns Dolphins Cardinals

Seahawks Broncos Chiefs


16-15-1, 2-0

Last week: 7-9

Jets Falcons Chargers

Bucs Patriots Ravens

Panthers Steelers Colts Raiders Dolphins Cardinals

Seahawks Lions Packers


15-16-1, 1-1

Last week: 7-9

Eagles Falcons Vikings Texans Jaguars Ravens

Panthers Steelers Colts Browns Bills Cardinals

Seahawks Broncos Packers

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