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Packers win b/c of jobless rate?

Green Bay Packers fan Amy Staniforth of Shawno,

Green Bay Packers fan Amy Staniforth of Shawno, Wis., holds a picture of quarterback Aaron Rodgers before an NFL divisional playoff football game between the Packers and the Atlanta Falcons, Saturday, Jan. 15, 2011, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky) Credit: AP Photo/Patrick Semansky

So, you're trying to figure out whether the Steelers or Packers will win Super Bowl XLV by comparing Ben Roethlisberger to Aaron Rodgers, James Harrison to Clay Matthews, or Hines Ward to Donald Driver? 

How about the jobless rate in Pittsburgh compared to the jobless rate in Green Bay?

According to RiseSmart analysis, the city that boasts the lower unemployment rate has won 16 of the last 20 Super Bowls. According to those stats, the Packers get the edge; the unemployment rate in the greater Green Bay area is 7.7 percent, compared to 8.1 percent for Pittsburgh. 

The study goes back to the Jan. 27, 1991 game between the Giants and Bills in XXV. New York City had the higher unemployment rate, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. But in 16 of the next 19 games, it was the city that had the lower unemployment rate that won. That included last year's Super Bowl, where New Orleans (6.7 percent unemployment in 2009) beat Indianapolis (8.4 percent). 

This is the first Super Bowl in the last 20 years in which both teams are from cities where the unemployment rate is above 7 percent. 

"Unemployment is the No. 1 issue in America today, and that will be true on Super Bowl Sunday as well," Sanjay Sathe, CEO of RiseSmart, a provider of next-generation outplacement and recruitment solutions, said in a press release. "In weighing the meaning of this analysis, correlation doesn't imply causation, of course. But you could argue that a fan base with lower unemployment is more likely to attend games, buy team gear, celebrate at sports bars and, ultimately, cheer their team on to victory. By contrast, a metro area that is struggling with high unemployment might have a subtle but insidious effect on its team's morale." 

Here's a list of Super Bowl winners since 1991, including the jobless rates of the home cities of the respective teams: 

1991 NY Giants 5.5 Buffalo 5.3
1992 Washington 4.6 Buffalo 7.2
1993 Dallas 6.9 Buffalo 7.5
1994 Dallas 6.1 Buffalo 6.8
1995 San Francisco 5.9 San Diego 7.1
1996 Dallas 4.8 Pittsburgh 6.0
1997 Green Bay 3.4 New England 4.1
1998 Denver 2.9 Green Bay 3.3
1999 Denver 2.9 Atlanta 3.3
2000 St. Louis 3.5 Tennessee 2.9
2001 Baltimore 3.8 NY Giants 4.4
2002 New England 3.6 St. Louis 4.6
2003 Tampa Bay 5.6 Oakland 6.2
2004 New England 5.7 Carolina 6.3
2005 New England 5.0 Philadelphia 5.1
2006 Pittsburgh 5.2 Seattle 5.0
2007 Indianapolis 4.4 Chicago 4.5
2008 NY Giants 4.4 New England 4.1
2009 Pittsburgh 5.1 Arizona 5.3
2010 New Orleans 6.7 Indianapolis 8.4

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