TODAY'S PAPER
Good Morning
Good Morning
SportsFootball

Week 13 NFL picks: Odell Beckham Jr. leads Giants over Jets

Odell Beckham Jr. a one-year wonder? That's what

Odell Beckham Jr. a one-year wonder? That's what Antonio Cromartie said earlier this season of the Giants' star receiver. Credit: AP / Phelan M. Ebenhack

JETS (6-5) AT GIANTS (5-6), 1 p.m.

TV: Ch. 2; Radio: WFAN (660, 101.9), ESPN (98.7)

Jets by 2.5; O/U: 45.5

I’m not a Jets fan. I’m not a Giants fan. The only teams I root for are the teams I pick every week and my fantasy teams. My point: There’s no bias in this prediction. I’m sure the Jets and Giants players, and especially their fans, have had this game circled on the calendar. I made a mental note of it once I heard the silly remarks Antonio Cromartie made about Odell Beckham Jr. being a one-year wonder. Ha! I would say he awoke a sleeping Giant, but as you all know, nothing about Beckham’s game is tired. I think he is single-handedly going to win this game for the Giants. Both teams need to win to stay in the playoff race, but the Giants need it even more considering the Redskins have a favorable matchup at home on Monday night. A loss and they’ll fall even farther back in the NFC East. The Jets righted the ship against the Dolphins last week, playing one of their best games of the season. But that was against Ryan Tannehill and Dan Campbell, who aren’t exactly on the same level as Eli Manning and Tom Coughlin. I think this will be a fun, back-and-forth game that won’t be decided until the fourth quarter. I also think Brandon Marshall will have a big game to try and keep up with Beckham’s efforts. But it won’t be enough as Beckham gets the last laugh against Cromartie. Even if Darrelle Revis plays, which is unlikely, I still say Beckham puts on a show: 10 catches, 200-plus yards and two touchdowns . . . only one with one hand, though.

The pick: Giants

1 P.M. GAMES

TEXANS (6-5) AT BILLS (5-6)

Bills by 3; O/U: 41.5

How dominant has Houston’s defense been? Since allowing 41 first-half points at Miami in Week 7, the Texans have allowed just 38 points. Houston has won four in a row, but three were at home, and playing a December game in Buffalo won’t be an easy task. The Bills have played well the last two weeks at New England and Kansas City before falling short. They’re the more desperate team, and I think Rex Ryan will have them ready..

The pick: Bills

BENGALS (9-2) AT BROWNS (2-9)

Bengals by 9.5; O/U: 43

Only the Browns could lose a game the way they did on Monday night. That will teach me — and most of the betting public — for taking Cleveland as a favorite. But now the Browns are big underdogs in the Dawg Pound in a rivalry game. After 12 weeks, home underdogs are 30-21 against the spread (ATS), so I’ll take a shot that the Browns cover.

The pick: Browns

JAGUARS (4-7) AT TITANS (2-9)

Titans by 2.5; O/U: 43.5

Remember the Titans’ last home win? It was Week 6 of last season . . . against the Jaguars. Four of Tennessee’s six home losses this season were by 2, 1, 3 and 4 points. The Titans had the Jaguars beaten on Thursday night two weeks ago until they fell apart late. This is the week the 11-game skid ends. After the game, Tennessee asks the NFL to schedule home games only against the Jaguars from now on.

The pick: Titans

FALCONS (6-5) AT BUCS (5-6)

Bucs by 1.5; O/U: 46

The Bucs, and not the Falcons, are the second-best team in the NFC South behind the unbeaten Panthers. Atlanta has lost five of six after a 5-0 start, and its only win was by three points at Tennessee. Matt Ryan continues to make mistakes in the red zone, and at this point, the Falcons are a total stay-away team. The Bucs won at Atlanta this season, and that confidence helps them make it a season sweep.

The pick: Bucs

RAVENS (4-7) AT DOLPHINS (4-7)

Dolphins by 4; O/U: 43.5

Miami fired its offensive coordinator this week, and we all know how this team responds after a coach gets fired. It will be close, because all the Ravens do is play close games, but I think Miami’s offense can have success against a Baltimore defense that is allowing 25.1 points and 352.5 yards per game.

The pick: Dolphins

49ERS (3-8) AT BEARS (5-6)

Bears by 7.5; O/U: 43

John Fox has done a remarkable job in Chicago, turning an 0-3 team into a wild-card contender. Jay Cutler builds off his big win at Lambeau Field on Thanksgiving night, and the Bears roll against a 49ers team that is 0-5 and has been outscored by 105 points on the road.

The pick: Bears

CARDINALS (9-2) AT RAMS (4-7)

Cardinals by 6; O/U: 43

One of Arizona’s two losses was against St. Louis. The Rams team that pulled off that Week 4 upset in the desert is now a mirage. The Rams have lost four in a row, and I can’t see this game being close. With the Cardinals hurting at running back, look for speedster rookie David Johnson to have a huge game on the St. Louis turf.

The pick: Cardinals

SEAHAWKS (6-5) AT VIKINGS (8-3)

Pick ‘em; O/U: 41.5

This is by far the toughest game to call this week. Vegas agrees, and that’s why this line is where it’s at. Here’s why I’ll lean slightly toward the Vikings: They’re 4-1 at home, and I think that humbling loss to the Packers two weeks ago was a learning lesson for a young team. A late Blair Walsh field goal wins it.

The pick: Vikings

4 P.M. GAMES

LOCK OF THE WEEK

PANTHERS (11-0) AT SAINTS (4-7)

Panthers by 7; O/U: 50

For most of the season, I thought one team was going to go 16-0. Turns out, it’s another eight-letter nickname that starts with a P. The Patriots’ loss left the Panthers as the lone unbeaten, and I get the impression they want to go for it. The schedule suggests they’ll be perfect entering the playoffs: At Saints, vs. Falcons, At Giants, At Falcons, vs. Bucs. Getting the Panthers as an underdog at Dallas on Thanksgiving was the steal of the year. While the letdown factor is definitely in play here, I think the extra few days off plus the fact that they’re the only unbeaten left will motivate them to take care of business. Oh, and it doesn’t hurt that Carolina is averaging 30.2 points per game and the Saints’ NFL-worst defense is allowing 30.8 points. Cam Newton has a field day as Carolina makes it seven wins by double digits and clinches the NFC South title.

The pick: Panthers

CHIEFS (6-5) AT RAIDERS (5-6)

Chiefs by 3; O/U: 44

The Chiefs are on a five-game winning streak primarily because of their stingy defense and strong rushing game. Those two qualities also apply to the Vikings, who went into Oakland three weeks ago and dominated. I expect Kansas City to follow the same blueprint and continue its hot play.

The pick: Chiefs

BRONCOS (9-2) AT CHARGERS (3-8)

Broncos by 4; O/U: 43.5

Anyone who thinks the Broncos should go back to Peyton Manning when he’s healthy just isn’t paying attention. Forget about the name and focus on the game. Brock Osweiler isn’t turning the ball over, and most importantly, with him under center in a more traditional style offense, the Broncos’ running game has gotten into a rhythm. Osweiler improves to 3-0 and Denver’s defense scores more points than San Diego’s offense in a laugher.

The pick: Broncos

EAGLES (4-7) AT PATRIOTS (10-1)

Patriots by 9.5; O/U: 49

The Eagles have allowed 45 points in back-to-back losses, but Page 1 of the Silver Linings Playbook says they play in the NFC East and they’re only a game out of first place. The Patriots won’t have Rob Gronkowski after already being without Julian Edelman and Dion Lewis. They still have Tom Brady, and they’ll be angry after their bid for perfection was spoiled, but I can’t see them winning by double digits considering how many weapons they’ve lost.

The pick: Eagles

SUNDAY NIGHT

COLTS (6-5) AT STEELERS (6-5)

TV: Ch. 4, 8:20 p.m.

Steelers by 7; O/U: 48

I’m superstitious, so the fact that Matt Hasselbeck is 4-0 at 40 has to be a good-luck charm, right? Or not. He’s done a great job filling in, but those four wins were against the Jaguars, Texans (before they started playing well), Falcons and Bucs. The Steelers are better than all those teams, and they’re at home. They’re also angry after letting last week’s game at Seattle get away from them. The Steelers and Colts played a wild one in PIttsburgh last season, a 51-34 win for the hosts. There won’t be that many points, but I do expect a lot of fireworks from Antonio Brown, who bounces back in the national spotlight after being held in check last week.

The pick: Steelers

MONDAY NIGHT

COWBOYS (3-8) AT REDSKINS (5-6)

TV: ESPN, 8:30 p.m.

Radio: WFAN (660, 101.9)

Redskins by 4.5; O/U: 41.5

Not much analysis needs to go into this one: The Redskins are at home, and if you’ve been following their games this season, you know that all Kirk Cousins does is deliver at FedEx Field. Jon Gruden waxes poetic about his brother Jay as Washington stays in first place with double-digit win.

The pick: Redskins

Week 13 Staff Picks (Best bet in bold)

Joe Manniello

83-88-5 overall, 7-4-1 best bets

Last week: 9-7

Giants Bills Browns Titans

Bucs Dolphins Bears Cardinals

Vikings Panthers Chiefs Broncos

Eagles Steelers Redskins

Bob Glauber

85-86-5 overall, 5-7 best bets

Last week: 7-9

Giants Texans Bengals Titans

Falcons Dolphins Bears Cardinals

Seahawks Saints Chiefs Broncos

Patriots Steelers Redskins

Tom Rock

86-85-4 overall, 7-4-1 best bets

Last week: 10-6

Jets Texans Bengals Jaguars

Falcons Ravens Bears Cardinals

Vikings Saints Chiefs Broncos

Eagles Steelers Cowboys

Kimberley A. Martin

81-90-5 overall, 5-7 best bets

Last week: 7-9

Giants Texans Browns Titans

Falcons Dolphins 49ers Cardinals

Vikings Panthers Chiefs Broncos

Patriots Colts Cowboys

New York Sports