One pitcher that I incessantly tried to draft in the middle rounds of drafts was White Sox righthander Gavin Floyd. Although his ERA and wins decreased last season, the peripherals indicated he would be a good value.
It didn't look good in April and May. When he had an 8.38 ERA on April 23 and I mentioned him as a buy low, you probably thought I was crazy. When I continued to prod fantasy owners to buy low on him, even after his ERA was 7.00 on May 16, you probably thought I was on drugs (listeners to the Sirius/XM show will enjoy that reference.)
Well, Floyd is finally pitching like I expected. Most people probably don't realize it, but he has been one of the best pitchers the past two months. He has allowed just nine earned runs over his last 11 starts.
Floyd was the victim of a high BABIP and low strand rate the first two months. It changed in June where he had a 2.58 ERA and 1.04 WHIP with a 34/10 K/BB ratio in 38 1/3 innings. It got better in July with a 0.80 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and a 25/7 K/BB ratio in 33 2/3 innings.
Overall, Floyd is 7-8 with a 3.54 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, and a 112/40 K/BB ratio in 137 1/3 innings. I own Floyd in two leagues and tried like crazy to buy low on him in others, but was unsuccessful. If you were able to, great job. It's just another lesson of why you can't only look at ERA and WHIP. Even in those awful two months to start the season, Floyd had a 48/20 K/BB ratio in 58 1/3 innings. Floyd is inducing more grounders as well with a 51.2 percent rate.
Were you able to buy low on Floyd? If so, what did you give up?