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SportsHorseracingBelmont Stakes

Belmont Stakes analysis 2017

Have a look at the horse-by-horse analysis for the horses expected to run in the Belmont Stakes on Saturday, June 10.

Twisted Tom

Trainer: Chad Brown Jockey: Javier Castellano Record: 6-4-0-0
Photo Credit: Getty Images / Al Bello

Trainer: Chad Brown
Jockey: Javier Castellano
Record: 6-4-0-0
Last 3: 1-1-1
Post position: 1
Odds: 20-1
Comment: Brown said he thinks this New York-bred gelding can get 1 1/2 miles, and after what Brown and Castellano pulled off in the Preakness, maybe he's right. Never been in a graded stakes and his figures aren't impressive, and if anyone else trained him you would consider him a throwout. Positives: He's fresh with room to improve. Difficult, but with Brown and Javier, don't say impossible.

Tapwrit

Trainer: Todd Pletcher Jockey: Jose Ortiz Record: 7-3-1-0
Photo Credit: AP / Julie Jacobson

Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Jose Ortiz
Record: 7-3-1-0
Last 3: 6-5-1
Post position: 2
Odds: 6-1
Comment: Looked like one of Pletcher's better colts after impressive win in Tampa Bay Derby, then showed nothing in Blue Grass and Kentucky Derby. Pletcher likes to freshen Derby also-rans for the Belmont, and this colt follows the pattern of Destin, who ran sixth in last year's Derby, skipped the Preakness and lost by a nose to Creator in the Belmont. Will be a decent price, and a big bounce-back isn't out of the question.

Gormley

Trainer: John Shirreffs Jockey: Victor Espinoza Record: 7-4-0-0
Photo Credit: Getty Images / Rob Carr

Trainer: John Shirreffs
Jockey: Victor Espinoza
Record: 7-4-0-0
Last 3: 9-1-4
Post position: 3
Odds: 8-1
Comment: He's the only Grade I winner in the field, taking a slow, subpar Santa Anita Derby. When he doesn't win, he's up the track, with no seconds or thirds. Tends to alternate big races with duds, and last time he was ninth in the Kentucky Derby. Doesn't look like the type who will do better going farther.

J Boys Echo

Trainer: Dale Romans Jockey: Robby Albarado Record: 7-2-1-1
Photo Credit: Getty Images / Al Bello

Trainer: Dale Romans
Jockey: Robby Albarado
Record: 7-2-1-1
Last 3: 15-4-1
Post position: 4
Odds: 15-1
Comment: Nowhere in Blue Grass and Derby, finding trouble in both, after a perfect-trip win in Gotham. Did finish 3 1/2 lengths ahead of eventual Preakness winner Cloud Computing that day, but the two have gone in opposite directions. Distance pedigree is solid, though, and closer could take advantage of pace that may be quicker than the average Belmont. For fans of Romans, a very tough big-race trainer.

Hollywood Handsome

Trainer: Dallas Stewart Jockey: Florent Geroux Record: 9-2-0-3
Photo Credit: Getty Images / Al Bello

Trainer: Dallas Stewart
Jockey: Florent Geroux
Record: 9-2-0-3
Last 3: 1-5-4
Post position: 5
Odds: 30-1
Comment: Never been close in only two stakes tries and won a preliminary allowance by only a neck last time. Figures are weak and he seems to be in way over his head.

Lookin At Lee (pictured left)

Trainer: Steve Asmussen Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr. Record:
Photo Credit: AP / Garry Jones

Trainer: Steve Asmussen
Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.
Record: 11-2-3-2
Last 3: 4-2-3
Post position: 6
Odds: 5-1
Comment: Deep closer always fires and is approaching a million in earnings despite having only two wins, both at little Ellis Park. Hasn't finished first since last August, but he's always a candidate to inflate exotic payoffs. Can't see him doing a Creator encore for Asmussen, but should be gaining ground in the stretch while most of the others are exhausted.

Irish War Cry

Trainer: Graham Motion Jockey: Rajiv Maragh Record: 6-4-0-0
Photo Credit: Getty Images / Michael Reaves

Trainer: Graham Motion
Jockey: Rajiv Maragh
Record: 6-4-0-0
Last 3: 10-1-7
Post position: 7
Odds: 7-2
Comment: Looked like he'd give Always Dreaming a fight at the top of the stretch in the Derby before backpedaling to 10th. When he's at his best, he's as good as anybody in this generation, and giving him a second chance makes sense. He was wide throughout at Churchill, when the inside clearly was the place to be. If you lost money on him that day, perhaps you should consider chasing your losses. His sire, Curlin, was a close second in the 2007 Belmont, and if Motion can get him to peak, 12 furlongs won't be a problem. Became the favorite almost by default when foot abscess forced out Classic Empire.

Senior Investment

Trainer: Ken McPeek Jockey: Channing Hill Record: 9-3-0-2
Photo Credit: Getty Images / Al Bello

Trainer: Ken McPeek
Jockey: Channing Hill
Record: 9-3-0-2
Last 3: 3-1-6
Post position: 8
Odds: 12-1
Comment: Made strong late move for third at 31-1 odds in Preakness after acting up while being saddled on Pimlico infield. McPeek pulled off the biggest upset in Belmont history when he scored with 70-1 shot Sarava in 2002. Closers rarely win the Belmont, even though Creator went against the grain last year, but there may be enough pace to set up another come-from-behind horse. Solid late-pace figures make him strong candidate for underneath spots in any exotics.

Meantime

Trainer: Brian Lynch Jockey: Mike Smith Record: 4-1-2-1

Trainer: Brian Lynch
Jockey: Mike Smith
Record: 4-1-2-1
Last 3: 2-1-3
Post position: 9
Odds: 15-1
Comment: Speedy colt could lead for a long way, but he's almost sure to have company up front. Would move up on a wet track, having run well twice in mud and slop. Looks like a pace casualty.

Multiplier

Trainer: Brendan Walsh Jockey: Joel Rosario Record: 5-2-1-1
Photo Credit: Getty Images / Al Bello

Trainer: Brendan Walsh
Jockey: Joel Rosario
Record: 5-2-1-1
Last 3: 6-1-1
Post position: 10
Odds: 15-1
Comment: Lacks speed, and his career highlight was rallying to win a weak Illinois Derby. Pedigree suggests he'll have trouble staying the distance; may have a future as a late-running sprinter-miler. Won't be using him.

Epicharis

Trainer: Kiyoshi Hagiwara Jockey: Christophe Lemaire Record: 5-4-1-0
Photo Credit: Getty Images / Al Bello

Trainer: Kiyoshi Hagiwara
Jockey: Christophe Lemaire
Record: 5-4-1-0
Last 3: 2-1-1
Post position: 11
Odds: 4-1
Comment: Japan-based colt hasn't run since losing by a nose in U.A.E. Derby to Thunder Snow, who finished last in Kentucky Derby but came back to run second to Irish superstar Churchill. The U. A.E. Derby was this guy's only loss, but how good were the four fields he beat in Japan? Victory would bring a $1-million bonus from NYRA, which wants to attract more horses from Japan. Last year, Japan-based Lani ran third in the Belmont, and Epicharis' pedigree says 1 1/2 miles will play to his strength. Unfortunately, he came up lame Wednesday and didn't train Thursday. Even if he recovers enough to make the race, that's a big red flag.

Patch

Trainer: Todd Pletcher Jockey: John Velazquez Record: 4-1-2-0
Photo Credit: Getty Images / Al Bello

Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: John Velazquez
Record: 4-1-2-0
Last 3: 14-2-1
Post position: 12
Odds: 12-1
Comment: Cleverly named colt created a lot of buzz at Derby because he has only one eye. It had to be removed last year because of an infection. Lightly raced with room to improve and has a great pedigree for a mile and a half. Sire (Union Rags, 2012) and maternal grandsire (A.P. Indy, 1992) won the Belmont. Looked overmatched in Derby, when he surprisingly was bet down to 14-1, and never got involved in roughly run race in which he was one of many who had traffic trouble. He's a reach, but thinking outside the box could pay off in wide-open race.

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