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Steve Matthews' Belmont selections for Saturday, Oct. 16

Best Bet: PHENOMENAL WOMAN (10); Best Value: SHAKER SHACK (4)

FIRST: Motion to Strike drops after showing speed in both starts; addition of blinkers is the clincher. Risky Woods was a hard-charging second when last seen nearly 10 months ago; danger ous if ready. Beckenbauer moves to dirt; wake-up potential.

SECOND: Fontanafredda was a sharp second to a repeat winner in debut; her turn on Saturday. Rooski was a solid fourth after wide trip in last; worth long look. Robyn and Eli makes first start for Chad Brown; any questions?

THIRD: Clear Vision, a clear-cut winner in last, owns field's fastest late-pace figures. Smile Bryan, 10 lengths behind top pick on Aug. 26, makes first start since claimed by Mike Miceli; potential to close the gap. Seismic Wave drops for Chad Brown; probable underlay.

FOURTH: Shaker Shack should move forward in second start since two-month absence; class relief seals the deal. Briella was second to a repeat winner in last; big-time player. Awesomenewyear regressed in last after willing score in previoius startr; bounce-back threat.

FIFTH: Show Me the Honey logged five tight works for first start since Labor Day; ready. Get the Candy, an uncoupled barn mate of top pick, could play out as the main speed; beware. Jamaica Joy gets Lasix and adds blinkers; very interesting.

SIXTH: Harajuku was pace and trip compromised in stateside debut; more to give. Jordan's Leo could be ideally positioned in the stalker's seat; dangerous. Higher Truth owns two wins, two seconds and a third from six starts; logical contender.

SEVENTH: American Gentleman was done in by swift splits last out; tighter in third start of form cycle. Cousin Andrew should pack enhanced kick with cutback to shorter sprint. Road to Success owns fast figures and positional speed; must consider.

EIGHTH: Gabby Squared overcame soft flow and rough trip when breaking maiden last time; pairs up. Adriatic Rose gets class relief and notched only win on Belmont sod; worth long look. Freedom Machine, 1-for-2 on Big B turf, is riding a forward line on the numbers; must be factored into the mix.

NINTH: Happy Sofia was a visually impressive winner in last; keeps on giving. Quantitativbreezin also drew off in eye-catching victory last time; easily could take another. Raffinity will be aided by turnback to sprint; right in the thick of this.

TENTH: Phenomenal Woman tallied has been training with a purpose after better-than-it-looks seventh in debut at Gulfstream this past winter; class drop and addition of Lasix make the difference despite layoff. New York Dancer was a tough-trip fifth in debut; very interesting. Escapewithfriends failed to fire when favored in last; improvement expected. Incontrovertible ships in for capable Ned Allard barn; don't ignore.

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