Best bet: BREE’S GOT HEART (5)
Best value: MADAME BARBARIAN (6)
FIRST: Kate is a Ten is the only member of the field with a win on the inner track; call in weak opener. Can Can Babe consistently delivers strong efforts; logical, short-priced threat. My Wild Gata is right in the thick of this on best races.
SECOND: Votre Coeur returns to dirt and could be sitting on breakthrough in second start since two-month layoff. Tough Old Bird regressed in last after fast-figured placing in debut; bounce-back threat. Zeppole could play out as the controlling speed on the rail; worth long look.
THIRD: Manipulated overcame tough trip to win last and owns faster back numbers; more to give. Lord Commander owns speed and broke maiden on inner oval last winter; dangerous. Black Tide could roll past them all if fractions get fast and furious. Gorgeous Charli has won last two at Finger Lakes by a combined 24 lengths; must be considered.
FOURTH: Quien Sabe was a late-running fourth in last and should have more in tank in second start since five-month absence. Irish Hope is speedy and rested; very interesting. Catapult Jack owns fast turf numbers; demand value.
FIFTH: Bree’s Got Heart goes turf to dirt and makes peak start of form cycle; 3-furlong bullet Sunday seals the deal. About That Base also switches footing and owns fast back figures; short price is the problem. Courtly Kitty, another that exits grass race, could impact if pace meltdown ensues.
SIXTH: Madame Barbarian displayed improved speed in last two starts and should offer playable price in wide-open field. Double Dose raced wide on turf last out and earned solid final numbers in prior two dirt starts; dangerous. Sabrina Ballerina is fleet-footed and could play out as the swiftest of the swift; worth long look.
SEVENTH: Sky Chaparral was a hard-charging winner in last and now makes first start since claimed by David Jacobson; more to come. Saratoga Giro owns fast figures and has won two straight at Finger Lakes; very dangerous. Wine Not took backward step when dead last at 60 cents on the dollar last time; bounce-back to prior effort places him squarely in the mix.
EIGHTH: Go Pita Go tallied improved late-pace figure when a tough-trip fourth in last; set for best in soft nightcap. Indian Soldier logged career-best numbers on inner surface last winter; big-time player. Blarney Stones should pack intensified late wallop with cutback to sprint; very playable. Leatherhead Lurie drops and returns to dirt; price will be tempting.