Best bet: CANDIDA (6)
Best value: SUPER SHARP (7)
FIRST: Tree Top Lover owns field’s fastest final figures and fired 3-furlong bullet Oct. 13. Howlin Mad Smith is rested and would be aided by pace meltdown. Kohlhase adds blinkers and makes peak start of form cycle.
SECOND: Sauvignon needed last and should be aided by cutback to 6 furlongs. Princessofthieves compiled three tight works since front-end winner in last ; big-time player. Dean’s Ticket is speedy and could prove very tough on an unchallenged lead.
THIRD: Katie Ice is fresh and could secure stalker’s seat from favorable post. Barbie Stones owns two thirds and a second from last three outings; logical, short-priced player. Argyle Gal could impact if fractions get fast and furious.
FOURTH: My Fair Lily has improved on the numbers in all three starts. Conquest Lucknlove owns speed and fast figures but has lost as the favorite in seven straight starts; you’ve been warned. Quanique owns two seconds and two thirds in five starts; must be factored into the mix.
FIFTH: Dreamboat Annie bested a next-out winner when a game second in last; rates close call. Majestic Jessica is speedy and can prove very tough on a soft lead. Bamboo Stick ships in from upstate after winning 10 of 25 at Finger Lakes; don’t ignore.
SIXTH: Candida was pace and trip compromised when a late-running fourth in last; forward move predicted. Rio Vista was a change-of-pace second in last at the Meadowlands; worth long look at long price. Avery Maeve displayed passing gear when winning lone turf start; very interesting.
SEVENTH: Super Sharp tallied solid final fraction when a dominant winner in last at Laurel; more to come. Razia Sultana was done in by hot pace when third in last; tighter in second start since two-month absence. Big Mara regressed in last after fast-figured placing in prior; bounce-back potential.
EIGHTH: Havana Moon logged three sharp works since improved fourth in last; set for breakthrough. Sassy Little Lila was a top-figured winner at Saratoga on Labor Day; very dangerous. Penjade logged two seconds and a third since arriving stateside; logical, short-priced player.
NINTH: Can’t Stop History was a useful fourth in debut and should pack amplified kick with cutback to shorter trip. Jewel Can Disco displayed improved speed in last and shorter distance could play to strength. Disavow concluded work tab with half-mile bullet; could be the goods. Shades of Brown is another firster training swiftly; follow the money.