I often talk about how a player coming off a poor season that has a good track record is a good target because the value is extremely low. One example this season is Braves outfielder Nate McLouth. No one seems to want any part of him.
McLouth had an awful season last year. He had several nagging injuries, including a concussion in June. He did return following the concussion, so that was a good sign. He did have a good walk rate of 11.5 percent and a career-low Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP) of .221 leading to a .190 average. There really aren’t any positives to take away.
If you look at his past, he’s was consistent the previous three seasons. He had 13 home runs and 22 stolen bases in 2007, 26 home runs and 23 stolen bases in 2008, and 20 home runs and 19 stolen bases in 2009.
McLouth has always produced a high fly ball rate with a career mark of 44 percent. He currently has an Average Draft Position (ADP) of 334 on mockdraftcentral.com. This is the type of player that can help you win your league providing excellent value. The Braves have a lot of confidence in him and he will likely hit second in the order, which is good for his fantasy value.
To take McLouth in the final round is worth it. If he stinks in the first month and he doesn’t return to the player he was you can always cut him and if you pay $1 for him in an auction and it doesn’t work out it’s not a major loss.
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