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Roger Federer has the odds heading into Australian Open

Roger Federer during a press conference ahead of

Roger Federer during a press conference ahead of the Australian Open in Melbourne, Australia, on January 14, 2018. Credit: Mark Cristino/EPA-EFE/REX/Shutterstock

MELBOURNE, Australia — Roger Federer prefers to think of Rafael Nadal or Novak Djokovic as the favorites for the Australian Open title, despite entering as defending champion and coming off a worry-free preparation.

“I play down my chances just because I don’t think a 36-year-old should be a favorite of a tournament,” Federer said Sunday on the eve of the year’s first Grand Slam tournament, “It should not be the case. “That’s why I see things more relaxed, you know, at a later stage of my career.”

The 19-time major winner can afford to relax slightly longer, given the half of the draw he shares with Djokovic doesn’t start until the second day. Top-ranked Nadal gets under way Monday night against Victor Estrella Burgos on Rod Laver Arena, the main venue, where he lost the final in five sets to Federer last year.

All four singles finalists were 30 or older here last year in what became a tournament for the ages, and three of them are back.

Serena Williams beat her older sister Venus Williams in the final to capture an Open era-record 23rd major here last year but decided against defending her title because she didn’t have enough time to recover from health issues after a complicated childbirth in September.

Venus Williams is seeded fifth and is in the second match scheduled on center court. She’ll get her 77th major under way with a challenging opener against Belinda Bencic.

She’s 4-0 in career head-to-heads against 20-year-old Bencic — who reached a career-high No. 7 ranking in 2016 and who helped Federer win the Hopman Cup title for Switzerland earlier this month — but Venus is coming off an abbreviated preparation that includes a loss in the second round to eventual champion Angelique Kerber at the Sydney International last week.

Venus Williams, 37, is among the top contenders at Melbourne Park. Others in action on Monday include seventh-seeded Jelena Ostapenko, the defending French Open champion, who meets Francesca Schiavone, the 2010 French Open champion. No. 2-ranked Caroline Wozniacki opens against Mihaela Buzarnescu and U.S. Open champion Sloane Stephens meets Zhang Shuai.

Simona Halep is the No. 1 seed in the women’s draw, and one of six women who can hold the No. 1 ranking at the end of the Australian Open. Halep, who has had back-to-back first-round exits on her last two trips to Melbourne Park, opens on day two against Australian wild-card entry Destanee Aiava.

Only two men can hold the top ranking in the first week of February — Nadal or Federer — regardless of what No. 3 Grigor Dimitrov or No. 4 Alexander Zverev or anybody else does in Melbourne.

Six-time Australian Open winner Djokovic, who has been sidelined for six months with an injured right elbow, is returning with a remodeled service motion, and 2014 champion Stan Wawrinka also has been out since Wimbledon after surgery on his knee.

Nadal, who won the French and U.S. Open titles last year, also has had a limited preparation restricted to a couple of exhibition matches last week as he recovers from a sore knee.

None of that makes them any less of a threat to Federer.

“Rafa, with the year that he’s had, and Novak with the six titles he’s had here, even if it’s unknown how he’s feeling, they could very well be the favorites, too,” Federer said. “If you’re in the draw, you give yourself a chance. That’s what happened for me last year — all ended up way better than I thought it would, as you know.”

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