If you watch Brandon Morrow pitch, you can see how dominant the Blue Jays righthander can be. Morrow is coming off a start we pitched five innings and allowed nine hits, six runs, walked two, and struck out nine to put his ERA over five for the season.
Is it time to give up on him? We saw the same thing last season. Morrow was terrible in the first half last season because of some bad luck and then he performed like the peripherals indicated in the second half. Before the All-Star break last season, Morrow had a 4.86 ERA and 1.46 WHIP and after the break he had a 3.69 ERA and 1.21 WHIP.
What stands out about Morrow is the elite strikeout rate of 11.66 K/9. What I do like about Morrow is the improved control. It was a major problem in 2009 with a 5.68 BB/9. It was better last season at 4.06. This season it's 3.89, so we're seeing improvement.
Morrow has a great K/BB ratio of 57/19. It's just not translating into the numbers that matter for most fantasy teams in ERA and WHIP. Morrow has a 5.11 ERA and 1.43 WHIP.
I think bad luck is the biggest problem for Morrow right now. He has an unlucky .368 Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP), a low strand rate of 63 percent, a high line drive rate of 26 percent, and a 2.07 Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) ERA.
Morrow can dominate at times, such as last season when he had a 17-strikeout game. Based on watching him pitch and looking at the peripherals, I think Morrow gets better. I would buy low.