This publicity image released by AMC shows Jon Hamm as...

This publicity image released by AMC shows Jon Hamm as Don Draper in a scene from the Seaon 5 finale of "Mad Men." Credit: AP/AMC

Remember -- always remember -- that the Emmys like repeats. Always have, always will, because the not unreasonable assumption among voters is that if a show or an actor was good the year before, there's every expectation they will be good again.

This means you'll see a lot of familiar names when the 64th Annual Primetime Emmy Award nominations are announced Thursday morning. But it also means your favorite show won't necessarily be among them. There will, however, be surprises. In my list below, some guesses about what those might be:

Outstanding drama

Homeland (Showtime) -- Could Showtime score with two best-show nods? "Dexter" might repeat here.

Outstanding comedy

Actress in a drama

Actor in a drama

Actress in a comedy

MELISSA McCARTHY ("Mike and Molly") -- Last year's winner. How could she not be here?

Actor in a comedy

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