National Rifle Association Executive Vice President Wayne LaPierre delivers remarks...

National Rifle Association Executive Vice President Wayne LaPierre delivers remarks during a news conference while a demonstrator from CodePink holds up a banner at the Willard Hotel in Washington. (Dec. 21, 2012) Credit: Getty Images

After Newtown, President Barack Obama appointed Vice President Joe Biden to chair a committee charged with the reconsideration of our nation's gun laws. Immediately gun sales in Texas, and elsewhere, began to skyrocket.

So, ironically, the massacre of 26, including 20 children, in Newtown, Conn., has spurred a buying boom of the very weapons that made it possible. It also stiffened the will of avid gun control opponents, particularly the National Rifle Association.

Time is on the NRA's side. Our attention spans, even for a massacre as horrible as Newtown, are limited. Columnists and politicians are prone to distraction by other issues. But the will of the NRA is single-minded and determined.

On December 23, after a week of silence to let the dust settle, Wayne LaPierre, CEO of the NRA, started pushing back. He blamed the killings in Newtown on everything except the high-powered, high-capacity semiautomatic weapons that make killing really, really easy.

Fine. But there are close to 100,000 schools in the U.S., not including the colleges and universities. Some estimates suggest that a well-trained guard could cost around $80,000 per year, a price that would be well worth it if these guards could actually protect our children.

But how well trained will the volunteer guard at, say, Anytown Elementary School in Anytown, Utah, be? What kind of a weapon will he have? Where will he be at the moment an unhinged but highly motivated shooter enters the school? I do not question the skills, training, will, or courage of the 100,000 policemen and retired soldiers that the NRA proposes to place in our schools, but I question whether we're willing, and whether we can afford, to provide them with the kind of firepower or the strategic advantages required to stand up against a determined shooter like Adam Lanza.

Lanza attacked Sandy Hook Elementary with high-powered, high-capacity weapons, including an assault rifle. He was protected with body armor. He was prepared to take on another shooter and might even have relished the opportunity. Will a retired policeman who, after two or three years on the job during which absolutely nothing has happened, be able to mount a defense against a well-armed and armored shooter? The NRA imagines that no deranged killer would dare to enter a school protected by a retired police officer with a .38 revolver. Shooters may be insane, but they're not stupid. Often they have the courage that insanity, desperation, and hopelessness provide. Often they attack with a strategy and they're prepared to fight.

Two predictions: The lightly armed, surprised good guy with a gun will be no match for a determined bad guy with an assault weapon, and often he will be the killer's first casualty. And rather than a deterrent, the armed school guard will serve, for some shooters, as an attractive first target, the one that ratchets the killing frenzy up a notch or two.

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