This image released by Universal Pictures and Amblin Entertainment shows...

This image released by Universal Pictures and Amblin Entertainment shows Gabriel LaBelle in a scene from "The Fabelmans."  Credit: AP/Merie Weismiller Wallace

For decades, the Golden Globes could be described with one word: Unpredictable. These days, a better word might be: Unsinkable.

If you missed the recent saga of the Globes and their parent organization, the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, here’s a recap. Despite perennial allegations of improper voting, favor-trading and inflated salaries, the Globes always retained their reputation as the Oscars’ younger, hipper cousin. Not until 2021, when The Los Angeles Times revealed that the HFPA had no Black members, did Hollywood go into outrage mode. Netflix and Amazon stopped working with the group, Tom Cruise gave back his three Globes and NBC, which had broadcast the award ceremony for decades, dropped the show for 2022. Nevertheless, Todd Boehly, a sports and entertainment billionaire, stepped in and purchased the HFPA, promising to turn it into a proper business. And on Jan. 10, the Globes ceremony will return to NBC for its 80th edition.

In short order, the Globes have gone from the brink of disaster to business as usual. Hollywood’s pre-Globe parties are back, and Variety reports that A-list nominees from Steven Spielberg to James Cameron will walk the red carpet. Still, the Globes’ luster has yet to fully return. Cruise seems unlikely to show (despite two nominations for his box-office smash “Top Gun: Maverick”), and Brendan Fraser, a strong contender for best dramatic actor in “The Whale,” has sworn not to attend. (Fraser has accused a former HFPA president of groping him.) As for the show’s host, it’s Jerrod Carmichael, an Emmy-winning comedian but far from a household name.

Finally, there are the awards themselves. As ever, the nominations are a mixed bag, with surprising inclusions (Ana de Armas is up for best dramatic actress in the widely panned “Blonde”), odd categorizations (even by Globes standards, how is “Elvis” not a musical?) and poor optics (in a strong year for female directors, none were nominated). Newsday’s picks in 10 high-profile races are below; some seem like a sure thing, others could be a coin toss. Did we mention that the Globes were unpredictable?

This image released by Universal Pictures and Amblin Entertainment shows...

This image released by Universal Pictures and Amblin Entertainment shows Gabriel LaBelle in a scene from "The Fabelmans."  Credit: AP/Merie Weismiller Wallace

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

“Elvis”

“The Fabelmans”

“Tár”

“Top Gun: Maverick”

This image released by Focus Features shows Cate Blanchett in...

This image released by Focus Features shows Cate Blanchett in a scene from "Tar."  Credit: AP

Cate Blanchett, “Tár”

Olivia Colman, “Empire of Light”

Viola Davis, “The Woman King”

Ana de Armas, “Blonde”

Michelle Williams, “The Fabelmans”

Brendan Fraser in "The Whale."

Brendan Fraser in "The Whale." Credit: A24/A24

Austin Butler, “Elvis”

Brendan Fraser, “The Whale”

Hugh Jackman, “The Son”

Bill Nighy, “Living”

Jeremy Pope, “The Inspection”

This image released by Searchlight Pictures shows Brendan Gleeson in...

This image released by Searchlight Pictures shows Brendan Gleeson in "The Banshees of Inisherin." Credit: AP

“Babylon”

“The Banshees of Inisherin”

“Everything Everywhere All At Once”

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

“Triangle Of Sadness”

From left, Stephanie Hsu, Michelle Yeoh and Ke Huy Quan...

From left, Stephanie Hsu, Michelle Yeoh and Ke Huy Quan in "Everything Everywhere All At Once."  Credit: TNS/Allyson Riggs/A24

Lesley Manville, “Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris”

Margot Robbie, “Babylon”

Anya Taylor-Joy, “The Menu”

Emma Thompson, “Good Luck to You, Leo Grande”

Michelle Yeoh, “Everything Everywhere All at Once”

This image released by Searchlight Pictures shows Colin Farrell in...

This image released by Searchlight Pictures shows Colin Farrell in a scene from "The Banshees of Inisherin." Credit: AP

Diego Calva, “Babylon”

Daniel Craig, “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”

Adam Driver, “White Noise”

Colin Farrell, “The Banshees of Inisherin”

Ralph Fiennes, “The Menu”

Angela Bassett as Ramonda in Marvel Studios' "Black Panther: Wakanda...

Angela Bassett as Ramonda in Marvel Studios' "Black Panther: Wakanda Forever." Credit: Marvel Studios

Angela Bassett, “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Kerry Condon, “The Banshees of Inisherin”

Jamie Lee Curtis, “Everything Everywhere All at Once”

Dolly De Leon, “Triangle Of Sadness”

Carey Mulligan, “She Said”

Ke Huy Quan in "Everything Everywhere All At Once."

Ke Huy Quan in "Everything Everywhere All At Once." Credit: A24 Films/Allyson Riggs

Brendan Gleeson, “The Banshees of Inisherin”

Barry Keoghan, “The Banshees of Inisherin”

Brad Pitt, “Babylon”

Ke Huy Quan, “Everything Everywhere All at Once”

Eddie Redmayne, “The Good Nurse”

This image released by Universal Pictures and Amblin Entertainment shows...

This image released by Universal Pictures and Amblin Entertainment shows Steven Spielberg on the set of "The Fabelmans."  Credit: AP/Merie Weismiller Wallace

James Cameron, “Avatar: The Way of Water”

Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert, “Everything Everywhere All at Once”

Baz Luhrmann, “Elvis”

Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin”

Steven Spielberg, “The Fabelmans”

Rihanna attends the premiere of Marvel's "Black Panther: Wakanda Forever" at...

Rihanna attends the premiere of Marvel's "Black Panther: Wakanda Forever" at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles on Oct. 26, 2022.

Credit: EPA-EFE / Shutterstock / CAROLINE BREHMAN

“Carolina,” from “Where the Crawdads Sing”

“Ciao Papa,” from “Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio”

“Hold My Hand,” from “Top Gun: Maverick”

“Lift Me Up,” from “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

“Naatu Naatu,” from “RRR”

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