Tim Urban, Michael Lynche, Casey James may be vulnerable on 'American Idol'

Tim Urban, Michael Lynche and even Casey James are the top contenders to be eliminated tonight on "American Idol," according to our crack Newsday team of experts.

We're at the point in the season where there are two clear tiers -- the "untouchables" (Crystal Bowersox, Lee Dewyze, and based on rabid fan support, Siobhan Mangus) who are likely your final three. And the ones who probably will be getting knocked off one-by-one over the next few weeks (Tim, Michael, Casey and Aaron Kelly).

Peggy Lundquist jumps back into first place, by virtue of having correctly picked all 5 contestants to get kicked off "American Idol" so far. She just noses out Jonathan McCarthy. 

Here are all our picks, below. (Scoring system: You get one point for each contestant correctly predicted to be in the bottom three, with an extra point if you pick who went home.)

Peggy Lundquist (5-0, 15 points)
-Michael Lynche (going home)
-Aaron Kelly
-Tim Urban

Jonathan McCarthy (3-2, 15 points)
-Tim Urban (going home)
-Aaron Kelly
-Casey James

Adam Abramson (3-2, 14 points)
-Tim Urban (going home)
-Aaron Kelly
-Michael Lynche

Jamshid Mousavinezhad (3-2, 14 points)
-Tim Urban (going home)
-Aaron Kelly
-Michael Lynche

Glenn Gamboa (3-2, 12 points)
-Michael Lynche (going home)
-Tim Urban
-Casey James

Eileen Fredes (3-1, 10 points)
-Aaron Kelly (going home)
-Casey James
-Siobhan Magnus

Daniel Bubbeo (2-3, 10 points)
-Tim Urban (going home)
-Aaron Kelly
-Michael Lynche

Ronnie Gill (1-4, 10 points)
-Casey James (going home)
-Michael Lynche
-Tim Urban

Anne Bratskeir (1-1, 3 points)
-Tim Urban (going home)
-Casey James
-Siobhan Magnus

PHOTOS: "American Idol" final round | "Idol" top 12 party with "Glee" stars

REWIND: See the winners and top finalists from each season of "American Idol"

MORE: Read all of our other "American Idol" posts

TALK: Who should be kicked off tonight? Click on "Add a comment" at the bottom of this post, or e-mail me and I'll post it for you.