Archie Panjabi plays Kalinda, a tough in-house investigator at a...

Archie Panjabi plays Kalinda, a tough in-house investigator at a prestigious Chicago law firm, on the CBS drama "The Good Wife" and won the Emmy for best supporting actress in a drama in 2010. Credit: CBS

Lead actor comedy

WILL WIN Alec Baldwin, "30 Rock."

He appears to own this category until such time as he decides not to enter.

SHOULD WIN Larry David, "Curb Your Enthusiasm."

The "Seinfeld Reunion" season wasn't only inspired but well acted by the reluctant unifier himself.


Lead actor drama

WILL WIN Michael C. Hall, "Dexter."

His moment has arrived, and after last season, well it should. While Jon Hamm ("Mad Men") and Bryan Cranston ("Breaking Bad") could pull this one out, Dex looks solid.

SHOULD WIN Matthew Fox, "Lost."

Not just for the final season, although that certainly is what this award is for, but for the entire six seasons. Deserved. Beyond deserved.


Lead actor miniseries or movie

WILL WIN Al Pacino, "You Don't Know Jack."

A good performance, but the academy really wants one of the great film actors in history at the dais.

SHOULD WIN Pacino


Lead actress comedy

WILL WIN Toni Collette, "United States of Tara."

She'll win out over comfort food (Julia Louis-Dreyfuss, "The New Adventures of Old Christine") and a talented newcomer ("Glee's" Lea Michele).

SHOULD WIN Amy Poehler, "Parks and Recreation."

Another ex-"SNL" talent with a glorious future.


Actress drama

WILL WIN Julianna Margulies, "The Good Wife."

Maybe she hasn't got the theatrical razzle-dazzle of Kyra Sedgwick ("The Closer") or the scope of Glenn Close ("Damages" or the accessibility of Connie Britton ("Friday Night Lights"), but Margulies does have one of TV's more intriguing new characters in Alicia Florrick.

SHOULD WIN Britton, the rock of "Friday Night Lights" all these memorable years.


Actress movie or miniseries

WILL WIN Claire Danes, "Temple Grandin."

A really terrific performance, period.

SHOULD WIN Danes


Supporting actor comedy

WILL WIN Eric Stonestreet, "Modern Family."

Insanely competitive category, but nobody was better on TV comedy last season than Stonestreet. With the exception of Jane Lynch.

SHOULD WIN Stonestreet


Supporting actress comedy

WILL WIN Jane Lynch, "Glee."

The breakout star of 2009-10, and tribute must be paid.

SHOULD WIN Lynch


Supporting actor drama

WILL WIN Andre Braugher, "Men of a Certain Age."

Surprise! Upset! He was terrific, too.

SHOULD WIN Aaron Paul, "Breaking Bad."

A phenomenal season and Paul remains an anchor of TV's best drama.


Supporting actress drama

WILL WIN Archie Panjabi, "The Good Wife."

Another murderously competitive category, but a favorable wind blows on the collective backs of all associated with "Wife."

SHOULD WIN Rose Byrne, "Damages."

Mournful, soulful (and lost soul) Ellen Parsons is one of TV drama's best characters, thanks to Byrne. This one is overdue.


Comedy series

WILL WIN "Glee."

The one. Or, The One that critics and fans babbled about. The One that brought Broadway and Madonna to prime time. The One that introduced a new word (Gleek.) The academy will look foolish if it doesn't recognize this One.

SHOULD WIN "The Office."

Pam and Jim got married, had a baby and proved why this show is a wonder for the ages. On paper, plot lines like this look ho-hum. On screen, "The Delivery" and "Niagara" were genius. Passing over "The Office" again - it last won in 2006 - would be criminal.


Drama series

WILL WIN "The Good Wife."

My sense is that the academy's voting members are ready to crown another big, commercial network show that would seem to have a kinship, however distant, with "The West Wing."

SHOULD WIN "Breaking Bad."

After last season, this would appear to be beyond debate.
 

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