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METHODOLOGY: The Siena Research Institute interviewed 596 likely voters in New York's 4th Congressional District, who were selected at random from a pool of registered voters.

Researchers polled voters from Sept. 10 to 15 via landline telephones and cellphones. They collected responses from a sample of voters reflective of the district -- 36 percent Democrat, 33 percent Republican and 25 percent independent or some other party.

The margin of error for the poll is plus or minus 4 percentage points.

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