Fantasy baseball: Time to buy, sell some players

The numbers over the first two months of the season can be misleading. Some great starts are flukes, while others are legit. Here are some players to consider acquiring and dealing:

Jon Garland (Padres), SP: PETCO Park is a pitcher's paradise and Garland has taken advantage with a 0.84 ERA at home. He has a 3.54 mark on the road. He is 6-2 with a 2.10 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP along with a 5.7 K/9 and a high 4.35 BB/9. Garland is getting lucky with a low .268 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) and a high strand rate of 78.1 percent, which is due for regression. Garland won't be able to keep up this pace. Deal him now.

Gavin Floyd (White Sox), SP: Who wants a 2-5 record, 6.02 ERA and 1.54 WHIP? Floyd has pitched better than these numbers as shown by a 3.97 fielding independent pitching (FIP), 7.41 K/9, 3.09 BB/9, .355 BABIP and a 61.5 strand rate. The ground ball rate has increased to 49 percent and that has decreased his home runs allowed. Buy low now.

Dan Haren (Diamondbacks), SP: Haren has been one of the most reliable fantasy pitchers, but he has a 5.35 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. His K/9 is a career-high 9.24 and his control is still good (1.82 BB/9). Haren has been plagued by home runs, allowing 16 in 74 innings after allowing 27 in 229 innings last season. A .345 BABIP and an 18.4% HR/FB rate, which is above his career rate of 11.1%, show Haren has been unlucky. He'll be fine, so try and steal him.

Jeff Niemann (Rays), SP: Niemann pitched well last season and has continued to do so this season with a 5-0 record, 2.37 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. He won't get many strikeouts (5.71 K/9), but has good control (2.78 BB/9) and a good ground ball rate (47.1%). Niemann is due for some regression as he has a very low .229 BABIP, a high 86.3% strand rate and a 4.10 FIP. Niemann will be a good fantasy pitcher, but his stock may never be higher so cash in now.

Alex Rios (White Sox), OF: Many gave up on Rios after he didn't live up to lofty expectations over his career, especially after hitting .199 in 146 at-bats with the White Sox last season after being traded from the Blue Jays. It's a lesson to never give up on someone that burned you if the talent is there and the price is right. Rios has improved his walk rate, cut down on his strikeouts and is hitting more fly balls in a hitter's park. With 10 home runs and 15 stolen bases, Rios is in line for a career year.

Aaron Hill (Blue Jays), 2B: While 36 home runs were a career year for him last season, Hill does have good power. A low .151 BABIP has led to a .164 average, but Hill does have seven home runs. He will come at a discount.

Scott Baker (Twins), SP: He's better than the 4.48 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. A 3.77 K/BB and .331 BABIP show this is someone to buy.

All statistics through Friday.