Look for the Dolphins to bounce back, cover and keep pace with Patriots
Miami Dolphins quarterback Ryan Tannehill is sacked by Detroit Lions defensive end Ezekiel Ansah during the first half of an NFL football game in Detroit, Sunday, Nov. 9, 2014. Credit: AP / Rick Osentoski
BILLS (5-4) at DOLPHINS (5-4),
8:25 p.m.
LINE: Dolphins by 5; O/U: 421/2
TV: NFL Radio: WCBS (880)
There are times in a season when a team needs two weeks to recover from a game, and there are others when a team wants to play as soon as possible.
Thursday night's game between the Bills and Dolphins falls into the latter category. I imagine we'll see two fired-up teams, both coming off close losses in Week 10.
The Bills have won three straight and four of their last five meetings vs. Miami, including a 29-10 Week 2 win in Buffalo.
This is a key AFC East matchup where the winner remains within reach of the first-place Patriots (7-2), who have a tough Sunday night game in Indianapolis.
The Bills are 9-5 against the spread (ATS) in their last 14 AFC East contests. Conversely, Miami is 5-8-1 ATS vs. divisional foes.
Buffalo is 3-1 ATS as an underdog, while Miami is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 as a favorite, as well as 7-2 ATS in its last nine November games at home. The Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last seven November road games.
Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill is 1-4 against the Bills in his career, and has never thrown for more than 241 yards vs. Buffalo. Still, I like Tannehill and the Dolphins to rebound at home in a big way after a crushing last-minute loss against the Lions last week.
The pick: Dolphins
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