Chicago Bears running back Matt Forte tries to break away...

Chicago Bears running back Matt Forte tries to break away from the Colts' Tom Zbikowski during their season opener at Soldier Field. (Sept. 9, 2012) Credit: Getty

BEARS (1-0)

at PACKERS (0-1)

LINE: Packers by 6

OVER/UNDER: 51

TV: NFL Network, 8:20 p.m.

Green Bay was my preseason choice to represent the NFC in Super Bowl XLVII. But the Packers' lackluster defense and anemic running game make them a tough cover against more gritty, ball-control teams such as San Francisco (which beat the Pack, 30-22, in Week 1) and tonight's opponent, Chicago.

Even in a short week, the betting line has been fluid, with the Packers between a 4- and 7-point favorite. The Packers are 7-2 overall and against the spread in the teams' last nine meetings.

Although I have trouble seeing Green Bay starting 0-2, Chicago has the right balance on offense, an opportunistic defense and solid special teams to keep the score close. Take the points.

The pick: Bears

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