Super Bowl 2026 prop bets data for the Patriots, Seahawks, coin toss and more

How, if and where you place legal wagers on Super Bowl LX and its assortment of prop bets is up to you. Here is some data on the Patriots and Seahawks to help inform you on the teams' performances this season.

Opening possession stats

A common option available to bettors is "1st drive result." Here's how both the Patriots and Seahawks started their games on offense and defense. 

Patriots offense scoring on first possession: 11 times in 20 games (55%), but 0-for-3 in the postseason.

Patriots defense allowing a score on first possession: 10 times in 20 games (50%), but 3-for-3 in stopping opponents in the postseason.

Seahawks offense scoring on first possession: 8 times in 19 games (42.1%), but 2-for-2 in the postseason.

Seahawks defense allowing a score on first possession: 4 times in 19 games (21.1%), with none in the postseason.

 Coin toss results in Super Bowl history

When it comes to guessing the coin toss in the Super Bowl, it is just that: a coin toss. Here's the historical data:

• Tails: 31 (52.5%) 
• Heads: 28 (47.5%)

Last year, it was tails. The year before? Heads. The year before that? Tails. The longest streak for a heads result is five, from 2009 through 2013. For tails, the best streak is four, which has happened three times, most recently 2014-17.

Does team that score first win the Super Bowl?

The team that scores first has won the Super Bowl 38 times (64.4%), including 12 of the last 17 games.

Average margin of victory

Seattle is favored to beat the Patriots in Super Bowl LX by anywhere from 4.5 to 5.5 points, according to online sportsbook odds aggregators. Whether you slide that line in one direction or the other to alter your odds of winning is entirely up to you. Here's how the teams have won and lost this year:

• Patriots (17-3): In those 17 wins, their average margin of victory was 12.7 points. In their three losses, the average differential was 6 points.
• Seahawks (16-3): In those 16 wins, the average margin of victory was 14.9 points. The Seahawks' three losses were by an average of three points.

Will we see a 100-plus yard receiving game?

There have been 21 100-plus yard receiving games in Super Bowl history. Hall of Famer Jerry Rice has three of those (XXIII, XXIV and XXIX) and former Patriot Deion Branch (XXXVIII and XXXIX) did it twice.

Branch and Panthers wideout Muhsin Muhammad both reached the milestone in Super Bowl XXXVIII in 2004.

The Seahawks' Jaxon Smith‑Njigba had nine 100-plus yard receiving games in the regular season and totaled 153 receiving yards in the NFC title game.

How about a 100-yard rusher?

There also have been 21 100-plus yard rushing games in Super Bowl history. The Dolphins' Larry Csonka (VI and VIII), the Broncos' Terrell Davis (XXXII and XXXIII) and the Cowboys' Emmitt Smith (XXVIII and XXX) each did it twice. 

The Giants' Ottis Anderson and the Bills' Thurman Thomas each ran for over 100 yards in Super Bowl XXV. The Colts' Dominic Rhodes and the Bears' Thomas Jones each did it in Super Bowl XLI. .

Seahawks running back Kenneth Walker III had three 100 (or more) yard rushing games this season, including 116 in the Divisional round. Patriots running backs Rhamondre Stevenson and Treveyon Henderson (twice) combined to do it three times.

Anytime Touchdowns

Any time is a good a time to score a touchdown. But just looking at total touchdowns scored in a season can be somewhat misleading at times. It's one thing to score 10 touchdowns in a season, and another if three of those came in one game. So let's take a look at the top rushing and receiving TD scorers for each team (who are available for the Super Bowl) and see how many total games in which they scored in this season.

Patriots

• TreVeyon Henderson: 10 TDs in 5 games
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 9 TDs in 5 games
• Hunter Henry: 8 TDs in 7 games
• Kayshon Boutte: 7 TDs in 6 games
• Stefon Diggs: 5 TDs in 5 games
• Drake Maye: 5 TDs in 4 games

Seahawks

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 12 TDs in 10 games
• Kenneth Walker III: 9 TDs in 6 games (including 4 in two playoff games after Zack Charbonnet was injured)
• AJ Barner: 7 TDs in 6 games

Field goals

Everyone loves touchdowns, sure, but field goals are cool, too — assuming you play that special teams prop bet. The typical over/under for field goals made by a kicker is 1.5, so let's see how the Patriots and Seahawks' special teams did this season:

• Patriots field goals made per game: 1.59
• Patriots two or more field goals in a game: 5 times
• Seahawks field goals made per game: 2.41
• Seahawks two or more field goals in a game: 10 times

And here's what opponents did against the two teams:

• Patriots field goals allowed per game: 1.12
• Seahawks field goals allowed per game: 1.47

Which team hits the longest field goal is another popular prop bet available in the online sportsbooks. The game will dictate when each team decides to attempt a field goal, but here's a look at how each kicker has performed at various ranges this season

Patriots' Andy Borregales

• From 1-19 yards: 2-for-2
• From 20-29 yards: 6-for-6
• From 30-39 yards: 8-for-9
• From 40-49 yards: 7-for-11
• From 50-59 yards: 4-for-4
• From 60+ yards: 0-for-0

Seahawks' Jason Myers

• From 1-19 yards: 0-for-0
• From 20-29 yards: 5-for-6
• From 30-39 yards: 14-for-15
• From 40-49 yards: 13-for-15
• From 50-59 yards: 9-for-11
• From 60+ yards: 0-1